MTR NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Mesa Royalty Trust · Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

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Latest close 2.90 USD
0.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -31.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 1.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.3%, after a -6.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 42/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 11d.

Setup score 14 out of 100
Latest Close 2.90 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 0.3% latest completed week
4W Return -6.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return -31.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 7.7% 4 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 0.3% Latest completed week; four-week move -6.8%. Indicator stack 4/26 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 42.71% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 42/100 43 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 11d Next report is scheduled for 13 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -31.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 1.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.3%, after a -6.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.5x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0012-week average 0.09

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.00Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -6.8% over four weeks, -31.6% over 12 weeks, and -48.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.3%
4W-6.8%
12W-31.6%
26W-42.2%
52W-48.7%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year4
Trend breadth7.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.27Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-15.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-41.31Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-2.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 90%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength23/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 78; rank 1 is best.
Value38/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 63; rank 1 is best.
Quality37/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 64; rank 1 is best.
Momentum38/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 63; rank 1 is best.
Growth38/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 63; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework91/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
12.5x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
9.0x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
7.5x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
15.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
86.2%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
65.8%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
85.0%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-12.0%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
2.0%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
6.2%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
6.2%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-4.9x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment42/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 43 relevant articles.

5 positive · 25 neutral · 13 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings11dNext report is scheduled for 13 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-49.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.5%Week of 20 Feb.
Worst week-9.5%Week of 8 May.
Latest week+0.3%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains1
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses10
Recent vol3.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/30Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.5% / -3.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape15/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 15/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis18/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.00; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 42.71%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 42.71% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors32/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 53 SVQF91/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 88.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment42/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 43 relevant articles.

Mesa Royalty Trust (MTR) Declines Over 2%, Approaching Key Support Level - Delta Hedging Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings11d

Next report is scheduled for 13 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20262.90 USD0.3%4.22 USD7.15 USD-1.27-41.3123.2KOff
24 Jul 20262.89 USD-7.1%4.27 USD7.25 USD-1.27-41.7734.5KOff
17 Jul 20263.11 USD-1.3%4.31 USD7.34 USD-1.23-38.5530.8KOff
10 Jul 20263.15 USD1.3%4.35 USD7.43 USD-1.14-39.5055.3KOff
3 Jul 20263.11 USD-2.5%4.40 USD7.55 USD-1.10-40.2224.7KOff
26 Jun 20263.19 USD-5.1%4.45 USD7.66 USD-1.06-38.1571.3KOff
19 Jun 20263.36 USD-8.2%4.49 USD7.78 USD-1.10-37.07109.9KOff
12 Jun 20263.66 USD-4.4%4.53 USD7.90 USD-1.18-31.7569.9KOff
5 Jun 20263.83 USD1.0%4.56 USD8.01 USD-1.18-29.2328.1KOff
29 May 20263.79 USD-1.7%4.57 USD8.12 USD-1.13-32.247.9KOff
22 May 20263.86 USD-7.0%4.60 USD8.24 USD-0.90-30.6641.8KOff
15 May 20264.14 USD-2.3%4.63 USD8.35 USD-0.69-25.4224.7KOff
8 May 20264.24 USD-9.5%4.66 USD8.46 USD-0.35-23.9855.8KOff
1 May 20264.69 USD2.1%4.68 USD8.55 USD-0.03-14.6632.7KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.