AESI NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. · Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

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Latest close 11.96 USD
-15.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -14.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 34.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -15.0%, after a -29.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 45/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 2d.

Setup score 29 out of 100
Latest Close 11.96 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -15.0% latest completed week
4W Return -29.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return -30.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 36.5% 19 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 57.49% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -15.0% Latest completed week; four-week move -29.6%. Indicator stack 20/12 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 57.49% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Volatility 45/100 conviction; expected move 21.9%. News sentiment 52/100 63 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 2d Next report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -14.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 34.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -15.0%, after a -29.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7512-week average 0.87

12-week confirmation

Trend active11/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.75Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -29.6% over four weeks, -30.2% over 12 weeks, and -13.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-15.0%
4W-29.6%
12W-30.2%
26W0.3%
52W-13.0%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year19
Trend breadth36.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.86Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-278.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-10.99Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-141.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 90%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength45/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 56; rank 1 is best.
Value75/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 26; rank 1 is best.
Quality11/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
Momentum27/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 74; rank 1 is best.
Growth18/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
15.2x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
12.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
7.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-5.4%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
25.3%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-2.4%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-8.4%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-50.2%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
3/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
2.1%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
2.1%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
4.6x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

AESI shows volatility options pressure with a 45/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.22, expected move of 21.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction45/100
Expected move21.9%
Put/call volume0.22
Pressure74
Speculation21
Volatility96
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 63 relevant articles.

14 positive · 37 neutral · 12 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings2dNext report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move21.9%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-40.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+22.7%Week of 24 Apr.
Worst week-17.8%Week of 27 Feb.
Latest week-15.0%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses7
Recent vol7.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol9.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.2% / -6.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape33/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 33/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis78/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 11/12, activity pressure 9/12, relative leadership 11/12.

Activity pressure 0.75; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 57.49%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 57.49% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors38/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 43; Small Cap Core rank 36 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options34/100

AESI shows volatility options pressure with a 45/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.22, expected move of 21.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 21.9% Sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 63 relevant articles.

A Look at Atlas Energy Solutions Inc (AESI) After 4.8% Gain -- G Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings2d

Next report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202611.96 USD-15.0%13.90 USD16.21 USD-0.86-10.9915.6MOff
17 Jul 202614.07 USD-2.2%13.82 USD16.24 USD-0.533.4912.6MOn
10 Jul 202614.39 USD-0.6%13.65 USD16.25 USD-0.313.9612.1MOn
3 Jul 202614.47 USD-14.9%13.51 USD16.26 USD0.065.5513.5MOn
26 Jun 202617.00 USD4.9%13.36 USD16.27 USD0.4826.3115.7MOn
19 Jun 202616.20 USD-4.5%13.08 USD16.26 USD0.6017.778.8MOn
12 Jun 202616.97 USD1.7%12.81 USD16.25 USD0.9224.2212.9MOn
5 Jun 202616.68 USD-0.1%12.54 USD16.24 USD1.0822.6114.4MOn
29 May 202616.69 USD-12.5%12.36 USD16.24 USD1.2819.7311.7MOn
22 May 202619.07 USD1.1%12.22 USD16.23 USD1.4739.0416.1MOn
15 May 202618.87 USD0.9%11.93 USD16.20 USD1.5339.4217.1MOn
8 May 202618.71 USD9.2%11.64 USD16.18 USD1.5338.9836.8MOn
1 May 202617.13 USD5.0%11.37 USD16.15 USD1.3530.7524.2MOn
24 Apr 202616.31 USD22.7%11.19 USD16.14 USD1.2125.5326.5MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.