RAIN NSI Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Rain Industries Limited · Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

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Latest close 222.9 INR
-1.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 41.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 96.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.0%, after a 18.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 62/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 61 out of 100
Latest Close 222.9 INR 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -1.0% latest completed week
4W Return 18.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return 55.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 36.5% 19 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 12-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 39.66% based on similar historical setup states.
  • 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -1.0% Latest completed week; four-week move 18.8%. Indicator stack 62/74 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 39.66% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 62/100 4 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 41.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 96.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.0%, after a 18.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.5x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8812-week average 0.52

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.88Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 18.8% over four weeks, 55.0% over 12 weeks, and 46.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 12 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-1.0%
4W18.8%
12W55.0%
26W43.9%
52W46.9%
Active trend streak12 weeks
Active weeks in one year19
Trend breadth36.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.24Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change21.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership53.83Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change53.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 02 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 86%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength97/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Value91/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
Quality64/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 37; rank 1 is best.
Momentum89/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 12; rank 1 is best.
Growth39/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 62; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework76/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
129.4x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
7.1x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
2.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
44.0%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
7.8%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
2.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
6.1%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
10.0%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-66.2%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
8/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.4%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.4%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
3.8x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment62/100

Weighted news tone is positive across 4 relevant articles.

3 positive · 1 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-2.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+20.3%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-15.6%Week of 13 Mar.
Latest week-1.0%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses4
Recent vol7.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.7% / -3.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape57/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 57/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis81/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.88; 4 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 39.66%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 39.66% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors84/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 52; Small Cap Core rank 20 SVQF76/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 380.5 of 1580 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment62/100

Weighted news tone is positive across 4 relevant articles.

Rain Industries Limited Issues Clarification on Business Seasonality Ahead of FY25 Annual Results Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026222.9 INR-1.0%157.7 INR153.7 INR1.2453.8314.9MOn
24 Jul 2026225.2 INR8.9%155.2 INR153.4 INR1.1860.9827.8MOn
17 Jul 2026206.8 INR-0.1%152.3 INR153.0 INR1.0945.9027.0MOn
10 Jul 2026207.1 INR10.3%149.5 INR152.7 INR1.0648.1036.2MOn
3 Jul 2026187.7 INR1.2%146.2 INR152.4 INR1.0235.1911.7MOn
26 Jun 2026185.5 INR-2.9%143.4 INR152.3 INR1.0735.630On
19 Jun 2026191.0 INR-3.0%140.9 INR152.1 INR1.2240.843.7MOn
12 Jun 2026196.9 INR-0.1%138.2 INR151.9 INR1.0848.763.8MOn
5 Jun 2026197.1 INR4.8%135.6 INR151.7 INR1.0251.784.6MOn
29 May 2026188.1 INR20.3%133.4 INR151.5 INR0.7745.0362.5MOn
22 May 2026156.3 INR-0.4%131.6 INR151.2 INR0.2520.6613.9MOn
15 May 2026157.0 INR9.2%130.7 INR151.2 INR0.0121.90124.3MOn
8 May 2026143.8 INR14.0%129.7 INR151.1 INR-0.319.5221.3MOff
1 May 2026126.2 INR-1.6%129.2 INR151.1 INR-0.52-3.099.7MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.