SMSI NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Smith Micro Software Inc · Technology · Software - Application

Open interactive chart View report data
Latest close 2.59 USD
3.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -20.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 20.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.6%, after a 0.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 48/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 3d.

Setup score 18 out of 100
Latest Close 2.59 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 3.6% latest completed week
4W Return 0.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return -38.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 17.3% 9 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 3.6% Latest completed week; four-week move 0.0%. Indicator stack 10/32 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 44.81% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bullish 48/100 conviction; expected move 10.0%. News sentiment 50/100 54 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 3d Next report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -20.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 20.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.6%, after a 0.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.1x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3012-week average 0.62

12-week confirmation

Trend active6/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure6/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.30Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 0.0% over four weeks, -38.9% over 12 weeks, and -25.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W3.6%
4W0.0%
12W-38.9%
26W-4.3%
52W-25.9%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year9
Trend breadth17.3%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.93Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-12.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-28.54Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change17.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 85% Model confidence 81%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength37/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 64; rank 1 is best.
Value44/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 57; rank 1 is best.
Quality42/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 59; rank 1 is best.
Momentum44/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 57; rank 1 is best.
Growth44/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 57; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.8x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-64.0%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
75.5%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-44.9%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-60.4%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-28.0%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-12.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
5.5%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-24.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-18.5%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.9x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

SMSI shows bullish options pressure with a 48/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 10.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction48/100
Expected move10.0%
Put/call volume0.00
Pressure100
Speculation3
Volatility55
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity0 / 6

0 acquisitions and 6 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 54 relevant articles.

9 positive · 39 neutral · 6 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings3dNext report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move10.0%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-44.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+25.3%Week of 13 Mar.
Worst week-21.2%Week of 12 Jun.
Latest week+3.6%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses7
Recent vol7.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.1% / -5.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape19/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 19/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis37/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 6/12, activity pressure 6/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.30; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 44.81%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 44.81% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors40/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 92 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options45/100

SMSI shows bullish options pressure with a 48/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 10.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 10.0% Sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 54 relevant articles.

Smith Micro Software Inc expected to post a loss of 28 cents a share - Earnings Preview Insiders0 / 6

0 acquisitions and 6 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings3d

Next report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20262.59 USD3.6%3.25 USD12.01 USD-0.93-28.54114.3KOff
24 Jul 20262.50 USD-3.5%3.26 USD12.28 USD-0.96-31.2872.1KOff
17 Jul 20262.59 USD-3.4%3.27 USD12.57 USD-0.98-30.78181.5KOff
10 Jul 20262.68 USD3.5%3.27 USD12.86 USD-0.97-32.38144.2KOff
3 Jul 20262.59 USD-7.8%3.29 USD13.13 USD-0.83-34.78275.5KOff
26 Jun 20262.81 USD-4.1%3.30 USD13.41 USD-0.51-29.74380.7KOff
19 Jun 20262.93 USD1.9%3.31 USD13.67 USD0.09-31.04748.8KOn
12 Jun 20262.88 USD-21.2%3.31 USD13.94 USD0.56-31.497.3MOn
5 Jun 20263.65 USD-16.1%3.32 USD14.22 USD0.97-12.41493.2KOn
29 May 20264.35 USD8.7%3.30 USD14.50 USD1.22-1.39678.5KOn
22 May 20264.00 USD-3.6%3.28 USD14.78 USD1.18-7.24304.3KOn
15 May 20264.15 USD-2.0%3.26 USD15.06 USD1.20-3.24623.6KOn
8 May 20264.24 USD-2.6%3.25 USD15.36 USD1.11-2.47640.2KOn
1 May 20264.35 USD10.4%3.24 USD15.63 USD1.024.32984.3KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.