NBIS NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Nebius Group N.V. · Communication Services · Internet Content & Information

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Latest close 190.4 USD
1.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 21.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 55.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.4%, after a -11.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is mixed with 44/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 57/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 4d.

Setup score 59 out of 100
Latest Close 190.4 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 1.4% latest completed week
4W Return -11.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return 7.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 86.5% 45 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 16-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 1.4% Latest completed week; four-week move -11.7%. Indicator stack 93/39 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 55.99% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Mixed 44/100 conviction; expected move 14.8%. News sentiment 57/100 53 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 4d Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 21.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 55.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.4%, after a -11.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.7x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8612-week average 0.88

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.86Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -11.7% over four weeks, 7.5% over 12 weeks, and 266.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 16 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.4%
4W-11.7%
12W7.5%
26W123.5%
52W266.2%
Active trend streak16 weeks
Active weeks in one year45
Trend breadth86.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.12Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-110.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership37.01Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-39.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 90%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength54/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 47; rank 1 is best.
Value6/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 95; rank 1 is best.
Quality92/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 9; rank 1 is best.
Momentum99/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Growth68/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 33; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
57.0x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
54.3x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
34.9x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
18.4%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
47.9%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
94.9%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
1006.4%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
8.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
491.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-2.4%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-2.4%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

NBIS shows mixed options pressure with a 44/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.10, expected move of 14.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction44/100
Expected move14.8%
Put/call volume1.10
Pressure-6
Speculation43
Volatility96
Trend agreement87
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 53 relevant articles.

19 positive · 31 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings4dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move14.8%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-36.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility12.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+33.2%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-19.1%Week of 17 Jul.
Latest week+1.4%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains12
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses6
Recent vol12.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol13.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew11.3% / -8.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape66/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 66/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis83/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 11/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.86; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 55.99%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.99% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors62/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 80 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options59/100

NBIS shows mixed options pressure with a 44/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.10, expected move of 14.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 14.8% Sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 53 relevant articles.

Nebius Group (NASDAQ:NBIS) Trading Up 1.1% - Still a Buy? Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings4d

Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.

 Research flow5 items

2 recent research articles and 3 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026190.4 USD1.4%157.1 USD60.08 USD-0.1237.01154.9MOn
24 Jul 2026187.8 USD5.7%153.8 USD58.98 USD0.0638.2598.9MOn
17 Jul 2026177.7 USD-19.1%150.4 USD57.90 USD0.3531.09100.9MOn
10 Jul 2026219.7 USD1.9%147.5 USD56.88 USD0.8357.7975.5MOn
3 Jul 2026215.6 USD-10.3%143.1 USD55.60 USD1.1761.3082.8MOn
26 Jun 2026240.3 USD-16.2%139.2 USD54.33 USD1.4385.3376.4MOn
19 Jun 2026286.7 USD23.4%134.3 USD52.92 USD1.61116.7392.4MOn
12 Jun 2026232.4 USD2.0%127.6 USD51.20 USD1.5986.2983.5MOn
5 Jun 2026227.8 USD-1.4%122.6 USD49.83 USD1.6691.8183.0MOn
29 May 2026231.1 USD7.6%118.7 USD48.49 USD1.6790.8675.0MOn
22 May 2026214.8 USD-2.4%115.4 USD47.13 USD1.5887.8584.1MOn
15 May 2026219.9 USD24.2%112.1 USD45.88 USD1.41100.10117.2MOn
8 May 2026177.1 USD14.6%108.6 USD44.59 USD1.3365.4588.0MOn
1 May 2026154.5 USD5.0%107.0 USD43.58 USD1.2756.1173.7MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.