BKKT NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Bakkt Holdings Inc · Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Open interactive chart View report data
Latest close 7.17 USD
-3.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -28.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 1.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.6%, after a -14.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 43/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 49/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 9d.

Setup score 15 out of 100
Latest Close 7.17 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -3.6% latest completed week
4W Return -14.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return -27.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 17.3% 9 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -3.6% Latest completed week; four-week move -14.2%. Indicator stack 10/36 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 42.73% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bullish 43/100 conviction; expected move 8.4%. News sentiment 49/100 52 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 9d Next report is scheduled for 10 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -28.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 1.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.6%, after a -14.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0612-week average 0.08

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.06Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -14.2% over four weeks, -27.2% over 12 weeks, and -23.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-3.6%
4W-14.2%
12W-27.2%
26W-46.5%
52W-23.2%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year9
Trend breadth17.3%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.16Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-142.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-50.05Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-10.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 82% Model confidence 78%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength6/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 95; rank 1 is best.
Value35/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
Quality5/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 96; rank 1 is best.
Momentum4/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 97; rank 1 is best.
Growth11/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-22.0%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
31.7%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-8.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-3.7%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-107.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-59.0%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
3/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-39.9%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-39.9%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.6x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

BKKT shows bullish options pressure with a 43/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.33, expected move of 8.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction43/100
Expected move8.4%
Put/call volume0.33
Pressure61
Speculation40
Volatility89
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity8 / 12

8 acquisitions and 12 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment49/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 52 relevant articles.

9 positive · 31 neutral · 12 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings9dNext report is scheduled for 10 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move8.4%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-85.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility16.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+43.5%Week of 22 May.
Worst week-28.0%Week of 5 Jun.
Latest week-3.6%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses10
Recent vol16.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol25.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split20/32Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew22.1% / -10.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape17/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 17/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis25/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 9/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.06; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 42.73%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 42.73% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors11/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 95; Small Cap Core rank 64 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options43/100

BKKT shows bullish options pressure with a 43/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.33, expected move of 8.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 8.4% Sentiment49/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 52 relevant articles.

Bakkt, Inc. Revenue Breakdown – NYSE:BKKT/W Insiders8 / 12

8 acquisitions and 12 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings9d

Next report is scheduled for 10 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20267.17 USD-3.6%9.97 USD18.00 USD-0.16-50.054.6MOff
24 Jul 20267.44 USD2.6%10.11 USD18.19 USD-0.02-47.894.2MOff
17 Jul 20267.25 USD-13.8%10.21 USD18.40 USD0.15-50.435.3MOff
10 Jul 20268.41 USD0.6%10.32 USD18.63 USD0.31-44.844.1MOff
3 Jul 20268.36 USD-0.9%10.43 USD18.87 USD0.37-45.485.1MOff
26 Jun 20268.44 USD-8.5%10.61 USD19.04 USD0.41-44.708.4MOff
19 Jun 20269.22 USD9.4%10.86 USD19.18 USD0.51-41.537.9MOff
12 Jun 20268.43 USD7.7%11.02 USD19.33 USD0.68-46.568.6MOff
5 Jun 20267.83 USD-28.0%11.34 USD19.50 USD0.62-50.5010.5MOff
29 May 202610.87 USD-8.5%11.87 USD19.67 USD0.56-33.778.0MOff
22 May 202611.88 USD43.5%12.43 USD19.84 USD0.10-26.9320.3MOff
15 May 20268.28 USD-15.9%12.99 USD19.98 USD-0.46-48.7510.9MOff
8 May 20269.85 USD14.9%13.91 USD20.15 USD-0.69-39.467.1MOff
1 May 20268.57 USD-2.9%14.68 USD20.28 USD-0.93-46.313.2MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.