FOUR NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Shift4 Payments Inc · Technology · Software - Infrastructure

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Latest close 53.00 USD
9.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 8.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 26.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 9.6%, after a 3.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 50/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 2d.

Setup score 32 out of 100
Latest Close 53.00 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 9.6% latest completed week
4W Return 3.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return 24.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 0.0% 0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 9.6% Latest completed week; four-week move 3.2%. Indicator stack 0/73 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Buy Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 50/100 conviction; expected move 15.8%. News sentiment 54/100 55 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 2d Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 8.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 26.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 9.6%, after a 3.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2212-week average 0.08

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.22Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals2Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 3.2% over four weeks, 24.5% over 12 weeks, and -48.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W9.6%
4W3.2%
12W24.5%
26W-10.2%
52W-48.0%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.14Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change30.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-20.38Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change29.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 93%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength63/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 38; rank 1 is best.
Value72/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 29; rank 1 is best.
Quality73/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 28; rank 1 is best.
Momentum4/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 97; rank 1 is best.
Growth32/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 69; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
37.6x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.9x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
9.4x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
11.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
35.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
8.4%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
20.9%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
5.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
28.3%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-54.8%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
20.6%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.8%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-10.5%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-9.7%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
4.8x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

FOUR shows volatility options pressure with a 50/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.97, expected move of 15.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction50/100
Expected move15.8%
Put/call volume1.97
Pressure-25
Speculation27
Volatility94
Trend agreement93
Open options detail
Insider activity8 / 1

8 acquisitions and 1 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 55 relevant articles.

14 positive · 39 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalFresh

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Fresh buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings2dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move15.8%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-48.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+20.9%Week of 26 Jun.
Worst week-24.7%Week of 27 Feb.
Latest week+9.6%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses8
Recent vol8.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split21/31Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.2% / -5.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape25/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 25/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis30/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.22; No reversal markers Factors54/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 87; Small Cap Core rank 64 Patient CapitalFresh

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Fresh buy signal Options62/100

FOUR shows volatility options pressure with a 50/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.97, expected move of 15.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 15.8% Sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 55 relevant articles.

Shift4 Payments Stock Pops After Founder Isaacman Scoops Up 300K Shares Despite Wall Street Doubts Insiders8 / 1

8 acquisitions and 1 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings2d

Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202653.00 USD9.6%49.00 USD73.86 USD1.14-20.385.9MOff
24 Jul 202648.35 USD-3.9%49.32 USD73.93 USD1.08-28.043.9MOff
17 Jul 202650.31 USD-1.0%49.88 USD74.05 USD1.20-27.165.4MOff
10 Jul 202650.81 USD-1.1%50.34 USD74.16 USD1.01-29.105.9MOff
3 Jul 202651.35 USD7.8%50.94 USD74.26 USD0.87-28.765.7MOff
26 Jun 202647.65 USD20.9%51.52 USD74.36 USD0.67-33.7211.7MOff
19 Jun 202639.40 USD-4.3%52.39 USD74.49 USD0.43-47.487.9MOff
12 Jun 202641.18 USD8.1%53.38 USD74.63 USD0.41-45.6810.3MOff
5 Jun 202638.08 USD-14.5%54.34 USD74.77 USD0.24-50.378.9MOff
29 May 202644.56 USD3.1%55.27 USD74.94 USD0.16-44.494.1MOff
22 May 202643.24 USD2.9%56.09 USD75.08 USD-0.00-46.366.7MOff
15 May 202642.02 USD-1.3%57.19 USD75.22 USD-0.19-48.318.6MOff
8 May 202642.58 USD-5.8%58.25 USD75.36 USD-0.30-48.3912.7MOff
1 May 202645.21 USD-0.2%59.41 USD75.49 USD-0.57-44.826.9MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.