BLD NYSE Week ended 03 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Topbuild Corp · Industrials · Engineering & Construction

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Latest close 354.5 USD
-16.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -17.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 10.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -16.7%, after a -11.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 57/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 3d.

Setup score 35 out of 100
Latest Close 354.5 USD 3 Jul 2026
1W Return -16.7% latest completed week
4W Return -11.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return -10.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 65.4% 34 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 58.79% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -16.7% Latest completed week; four-week move -11.8%. Indicator stack 36/81 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 58.79% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 57/100 63 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 3d Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -17.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 10.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -16.7%, after a -11.8% four-week move.

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52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
9 Jan 16 Jan 23 Jan 30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1112-week average 0.20

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.11Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -11.8% over four weeks, -10.1% over 12 weeks, and 2.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-16.7%
4W-11.8%
12W-10.1%
26W-17.8%
52W2.0%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year34
Trend breadth65.4%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.45Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change282.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-23.85Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-90.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 85% Model confidence 81%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength28/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 73; rank 1 is best.
Value31/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 70; rank 1 is best.
Quality66/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 35; rank 1 is best.
Momentum32/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 69; rank 1 is best.
Growth72/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 29; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework72/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
19.7x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.8x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
12.9x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
5.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
28.8%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
14.0%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
12.5%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
11.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
2.2%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
2.2%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.9x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity0 / 20

0 acquisitions and 20 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 63 relevant articles.

21 positive · 40 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings3dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-36.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.6%Week of 24 Apr.
Worst week-16.7%Week of 3 Jul.
Latest week-16.7%Week of 3 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses8
Recent vol6.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.8% / -4.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape39/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 39/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis19/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 1/12.

Activity pressure 0.11; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 58.79%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 58.79% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors38/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 22; Small Cap Core rank 70 SVQF72/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 286.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 63 relevant articles.

TopBuild Corp. Revenue Breakdown – LSX:A14UY4 Insiders0 / 20

0 acquisitions and 20 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings3d

Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
3 Jul 2026354.5 USD-16.7%428.1 USD371.2 USD0.45-23.854.0MOff
26 Jun 2026425.5 USD-0.2%430.9 USD370.6 USD0.58-6.877.5MOff
19 Jun 2026426.5 USD3.8%431.8 USD369.6 USD0.26-8.733.1MOff
12 Jun 2026411.1 USD2.3%431.9 USD368.4 USD0.01-11.135.1MOff
5 Jun 2026401.8 USD-3.8%432.2 USD367.4 USD-0.25-12.504.7MOff
29 May 2026417.5 USD2.3%432.9 USD366.3 USD-0.33-11.252.5MOff
22 May 2026408.0 USD1.8%433.1 USD365.0 USD-0.24-11.833.4MOff
15 May 2026400.8 USD-6.4%434.5 USD363.7 USD-0.08-12.473.6MOff
8 May 2026428.0 USD-2.5%435.7 USD362.5 USD-0.16-6.254.0MOff
1 May 2026439.0 USD-3.2%435.5 USD361.1 USD-0.28-1.435.3MOff
24 Apr 2026453.7 USD10.6%434.2 USD359.6 USD-0.533.079.8MOff
17 Apr 2026410.3 USD4.0%432.2 USD358.2 USD-0.81-6.031.6MOff
10 Apr 2026394.4 USD10.5%432.3 USD356.9 USD-0.92-5.512.1MOff
3 Apr 2026356.9 USD2.4%433.1 USD355.7 USD-1.05-11.311.9MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.