FRO NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Frontline Ltd · Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

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Latest close 39.29 USD
7.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 20.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 85.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 7.7%, after a 10.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 52/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 32d.

Setup score 64 out of 100
Latest Close 39.29 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 7.7% latest completed week
4W Return 10.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return 10.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 100.0% 52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 61-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 58.66% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 7.7% Latest completed week; four-week move 10.6%. Indicator stack 100/9 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 58.66% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Volatility 52/100 conviction; expected move 10.6%. News sentiment 54/100 52 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 32d Next report is scheduled for 31 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 20.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 85.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 7.7%, after a 10.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9112-week average 0.89

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.91Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 10.6% over four weeks, 10.4% over 12 weeks, and 133.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 61 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W7.7%
4W10.6%
12W10.4%
26W62.0%
52W133.4%
Active trend streak61 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.48Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-401.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership32.65Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change19.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength97/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Value81/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 20; rank 1 is best.
Quality91/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
Momentum96/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 5; rank 1 is best.
Growth84/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 17; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework82/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
9.7x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
3.9x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
7.6x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
11.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
41.5%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
49.7%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
56.1%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
22.2%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
18.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
160.0%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
75.4%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
6.6%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
6.6%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.5x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

FRO shows volatility options pressure with a 52/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.11, expected move of 10.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction52/100
Expected move10.6%
Put/call volume0.11
Pressure79
Speculation18
Volatility77
Trend agreement26
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 52 relevant articles.

18 positive · 24 neutral · 10 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings32dNext report is scheduled for 31 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move10.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-8.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher18 of 268 weeks finished lower.
Best week+15.5%Week of 12 Jun.
Worst week-13.2%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week+7.7%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains12
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses0
Sharp losses8
Recent vol7.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split33/19Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.7% / -4.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape64/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 64/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis77/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.91; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 58.66%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 58.66% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors91/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 64; Small Cap Core rank 26 SVQF82/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 183.0 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options43/100

FRO shows volatility options pressure with a 52/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.11, expected move of 10.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 10.6% Sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 52 relevant articles.

Frontline Plc (FRO) Cash Flow Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings32d

Next report is scheduled for 31 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202639.29 USD7.7%32.74 USD20.66 USD-0.4832.657.7MOn
17 Jul 202636.49 USD-4.3%32.10 USD20.48 USD-0.3724.0510.8MOn
10 Jul 202638.13 USD3.8%31.56 USD20.32 USD0.0429.0212.9MOn
3 Jul 202636.75 USD3.5%31.00 USD20.15 USD0.2127.4511.5MOn
26 Jun 202635.52 USD-13.2%30.49 USD19.99 USD0.1627.3521.6MOn
19 Jun 202640.93 USD4.8%30.03 USD19.83 USD-0.0144.9618.1MOn
12 Jun 202639.07 USD15.5%29.46 USD19.64 USD-0.2641.5015.6MOn
5 Jun 202633.83 USD1.4%28.95 USD19.46 USD-0.3424.6413.0MOn
29 May 202633.35 USD-6.6%28.55 USD19.32 USD0.0421.0015.6MOn
22 May 202635.70 USD1.3%28.21 USD19.17 USD0.3032.5516.0MOn
15 May 202635.26 USD-7.2%27.74 USD19.01 USD0.4333.4012.6MOn
8 May 202638.00 USD6.8%27.28 USD18.85 USD0.6845.6111.5MOn
1 May 202635.60 USD4.0%26.72 USD18.68 USD0.6941.429.1MOn
24 Apr 202634.23 USD-4.1%26.24 USD18.52 USD0.8238.9416.2MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.