TLG ASX Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Name: TLG weekly investor report
Creator: Sharemaestro
License: https://sharemaestro.com/data-license/

Talga Group Ltd · Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining

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Latest close 0.26 AUD

-1.9% latest week

Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -13.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 18.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.9%, after a 30.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 37 out of 100

Latest Close 0.26 AUD 24 Jul 2026

1W Return -1.9% latest completed week

4W Return 30.0% short-term follow-through

12W Return 4.0% quarterly tape

Trend Breadth 19.2% 10 of 52 weeks active

Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average

What is working

Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.

What could go wrong

The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
Next-week expectancy is negative at 41.80% based on similar historical setup states.

What to watch next

Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.

Price follow-through -1.9% Latest completed week; four-week move 30.0%. Indicator stack 11/100 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 41.80% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 51/100 17 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.

01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -13.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 18.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.9%, after a 30.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Position in the 52-week range

Close Trend Fair

0.19 AUD 18.7% 0.56 AUD

Range location18.7%Shows where the latest close sits between the 52-week low and high.

Trend distance-13.6%Price premium or discount versus the weekly Trend Line.

Fair-value gap-53.2%Premium demand or model discount versus Sharemaestro Fair Value.

High-water gap-54.0%Distance from the latest 52-week high.

02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction

30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul

Up week Down week

Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1812-week average 0.10

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.

Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.

Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.

Activity pressure0.18Current proprietary activity-pressure read.

Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.

Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 30.0% over four weeks, 4.0% over 12 weeks, and -44.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-1.9%

4W30.0%

12W4.0%

26W-39.5%

52W-44.7%

Active trend streak0 weeks

Active weeks in one year10

Trend breadth19.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership

Pressure0.63Latest activity-pressure read.

Pressure change1336.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.

Leadership-28.69Latest relative-leadership reading.

RS change39.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.

04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis

Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2024 Field coverage 70% Model confidence 21%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength1/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 100; rank 1 is best.

Value8/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 93; rank 1 is best.

Quality3/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 98; rank 1 is best.

Momentum4/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 97; rank 1 is best.

Growth6/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 95; rank 1 is best.

How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E: -
Price / sales: 589.3x
EV / EBITDA: -
Free-cash-flow yield: -35.0%

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin: 100.0%
Operating margin: -17589.1%
Free-cash-flow margin: -18683.5%
Return on invested capital: -107.8%

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth: -19.4%
EPS growth: -
Free-cash-flow growth: -
Piotroski F-score: 2/9

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield: -
Buyback yield: -14.2%
Shareholder yield: -14.2%
Net debt / EBITDA: 0.3x

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 17 relevant articles.

1 positive · 16 neutral · 0 negative

Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal

06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.

Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.

52-week drawdown-54.0%Distance below the 52-week high.

13-week volatility12.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

30 Jan 27 Feb 27 Mar 24 Apr 22 May 19 Jun 24 Jul

Weeks higher9 of 2615 weeks finished lower.

Best week+40.0%Week of 3 Jul.

Worst week-12.1%Week of 20 Mar.

Latest week-1.9%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4

Modest gains5

Flat weeks2

Modest losses3

Sharp losses12

Recent vol12.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.

Base vol8.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.

Up/down split20/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.

Average skew7.1% / -6.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.

07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

SectorAU Basic Materials

4-week rank- / 100

Group average-5.2%

Trend breadth19.0%

Trend19.0%active weekly trend signals

MD25.0%positive activity pressure

RS39.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

BNZ · ASX35.8%MEI · ASX20.0%SMR · ASX19.2%TCG · ASX18.7%S32 · ASX14.8%

IndustryAU Other Industrial Metals & Mining

4-week rank3 / 100

Group average-2.9%

Trend breadth23.0%

Trend23.0%active weekly trend signals

MD24.0%positive activity pressure

RS42.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

CXU · ASX56.2%BNZ · ASX35.8%TLG · ASX30.0%GL1 · ASX26.6%MEI · ASX20.0%

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape29/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 29/100 tape read.

Indicator analysis24/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.18; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 41.80%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 41.80% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors3/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 85; Small Cap Core rank 94 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 17 relevant articles.

Talga Group (ASX:TLG) Jumps on ASX: What Investors Need to Know Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.

Week	Close	Return	Trend Line	Fair Value	Pressure	Leadership	Volume	Trend
24 Jul 2026	0.26 AUD	-1.9%	0.30 AUD	0.56 AUD	0.63	-28.69	2.0M	Off
17 Jul 2026	0.27 AUD	3.9%	0.30 AUD	0.56 AUD	0.49	-28.33	1.6M	Off
10 Jul 2026	0.26 AUD	-8.9%	0.31 AUD	0.57 AUD	0.29	-31.74	2.7M	Off
3 Jul 2026	0.28 AUD	40.0%	0.31 AUD	0.58 AUD	0.14	-25.97	7.9M	Off
26 Jun 2026	0.20 AUD	-11.1%	0.32 AUD	0.58 AUD	-0.05	-47.06	3.6M	Off
19 Jun 2026	0.23 AUD	-10.0%	0.33 AUD	0.59 AUD	0.02	-41.49	638.9K	Off
12 Jun 2026	0.25 AUD	-7.4%	0.33 AUD	0.60 AUD	0.17	-35.47	420.5K	Off
5 Jun 2026	0.27 AUD	-8.5%	0.34 AUD	0.61 AUD	0.11	-29.64	2.8M	Off
29 May 2026	0.29 AUD	0.0%	0.34 AUD	0.61 AUD	-0.29	-24.64	175.8K	Off
22 May 2026	0.29 AUD	3.5%	0.35 AUD	0.62 AUD	-0.78	-24.47	3.0M	Off
15 May 2026	0.28 AUD	7.5%	0.36 AUD	0.63 AUD	-1.22	-27.29	1.9M	Off
8 May 2026	0.27 AUD	6.0%	0.37 AUD	0.63 AUD	-1.52	-33.92	3.1M	Off
1 May 2026	0.25 AUD	-3.8%	0.37 AUD	0.64 AUD	-1.55	-38.11	3.1M	Off
24 Apr 2026	0.26 AUD	0.0%	0.38 AUD	0.65 AUD	-1.49	-36.72	4.5M	Off

How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.