ARQQ NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Arqit Quantum Inc. · Technology · Software - Infrastructure

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Latest close 17.13 USD
2.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 11.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.9%, after a -27.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 60/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 51/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 18 out of 100
Latest Close 17.13 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 2.9% latest completed week
4W Return -27.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return 14.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 28.8% 15 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 41.20% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 2.9% Latest completed week; four-week move -27.2%. Indicator stack 16/55 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 41.20% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Volatility 60/100 conviction; expected move 25.2%. News sentiment 51/100 46 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 11.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.9%, after a -27.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.4x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3312-week average 0.18

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.33Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -27.2% over four weeks, 14.5% over 12 weeks, and -47.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W2.9%
4W-27.2%
12W14.5%
26W-15.7%
52W-47.0%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year15
Trend breadth28.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.51Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-58.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-36.27Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-65.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 82% Model confidence 78%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength73/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 28; rank 1 is best.
Value61/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 40; rank 1 is best.
Quality59/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 42; rank 1 is best.
Momentum61/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 40; rank 1 is best.
Growth61/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 40; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
546.7x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-11.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
-43.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-7088.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-5569.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-1550.7%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-12.8%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-12.8%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.7x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

ARQQ shows volatility options pressure with a 60/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.01, expected move of 25.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction60/100
Expected move25.2%
Put/call volume0.01
Pressure100
Speculation40
Volatility96
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity6 / 14

6 acquisitions and 14 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 46 relevant articles.

8 positive · 34 neutral · 4 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move25.2%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-72.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility25.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher8 of 2618 weeks finished lower.
Best week+79.3%Week of 19 Jun.
Worst week-26.5%Week of 5 Jun.
Latest week+2.9%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses14
Recent vol25.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol17.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split18/34Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew17.1% / -9.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape22/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 22/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis35/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.33; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 41.20%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 41.20% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors63/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 88; Small Cap Core rank 47 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options38/100

ARQQ shows volatility options pressure with a 60/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.01, expected move of 25.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 25.2% Sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 46 relevant articles.

ARQQ|Arqit Quantum Inc|Price:17.490|Chg%:-0.690 Insiders6 / 14

6 acquisitions and 14 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202617.13 USD2.9%17.41 USD18.82 USD0.51-36.271.5MOff
24 Jul 202616.65 USD-4.4%17.66 USD18.90 USD0.76-38.731.6MOff
17 Jul 202617.42 USD-8.7%17.86 USD18.98 USD1.07-38.232.1MOff
10 Jul 202619.08 USD-18.9%18.13 USD19.06 USD1.28-36.683.5MOff
3 Jul 202623.52 USD-3.1%18.44 USD19.14 USD1.22-21.874.2MOff
26 Jun 202624.26 USD-0.5%18.67 USD19.18 USD1.02-19.808.1MOff
19 Jun 202624.38 USD79.3%18.81 USD19.22 USD0.91-24.2913.8MOff
12 Jun 202613.60 USD12.0%18.81 USD19.25 USD0.85-57.512.8MOff
5 Jun 202612.14 USD-26.5%19.28 USD19.40 USD0.83-61.633.2MOff
29 May 202616.51 USD-5.6%20.00 USD19.57 USD0.87-50.833.3MOff
22 May 202617.49 USD31.1%20.90 USD19.67 USD0.59-46.845.4MOff
15 May 202613.34 USD-10.8%21.75 USD19.78 USD0.27-59.392.2MOff
8 May 202614.96 USD3.0%22.68 USD19.83 USD0.13-54.922.3MOff
1 May 202614.52 USD-0.1%23.80 USD19.90 USD-0.37-54.061.2MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.