- No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
VRRM
NASDAQ
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Verra Mobility Corp · Technology · Information Technology Services
Latest close
5.29 USD
30.6%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -58.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 8.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 30.6%, after a 23.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 48/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 40/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 3d.
Setup score
25
out of 100
Latest Close
5.29 USD
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
30.6%
latest completed week
4W Return
23.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-63.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
23.1%
12 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.5x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
30.6%
Latest completed week; four-week move 23.0%.
Indicator stack
13/31
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 43.05%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Volatility
48/100 conviction; expected move 18.0%.
News sentiment
40/100
55 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
3d
Next report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -58.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 8.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 30.6%, after a 23.0% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0112-week average 0.01
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.01Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 23.0% over four weeks, -63.0% over 12 weeks, and -78.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year12
Trend breadth23.1%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.09Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change3.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-72.59Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change9.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 94%
Model confidence 90%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength88/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 13; rank 1 is best.
Value97/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Quality100/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 1; rank 1 is best.
Momentum1/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 100; rank 1 is best.
Growth92/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 9; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework98/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 4.7x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.6x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 1.7x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 56.4% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 97.5% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 25.9% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 37.0% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 58.5% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 9.7% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 278.3% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 9.8% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 8/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 29.7% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 29.7% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 0.1x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningVolatility
VRRM shows volatility options pressure with a 48/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.12, expected move of 18.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction48/100
Expected move18.0%
Put/call volume0.12
Insider activity17 / 3
17 acquisitions and 3 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment40/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 55 relevant articles.
4 positive · 28 neutral · 23 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings3dNext report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move18.0%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-79.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility20.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher7 of 2618 weeks finished lower.
Best week+30.6%Week of 31 Jul.
Worst week-66.6%Week of 29 May.
Latest week+30.6%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains3
Flat weeks1
Modest losses9
Sharp losses9
Recent vol20.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol10.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split19/32Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.2% / -5.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Technology
4-week rank- / 100
Group average-3.3%
Trend breadth56.0%
Trend56.0%active weekly trend signals
MD46.0%positive activity pressure
RS54.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Information Technology Services
4-week rank7 / 66
Group average3.4%
Trend breadth19.7%
Trend19.7%active weekly trend signals
MD45.5%positive activity pressure
RS16.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape21/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 21/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis9/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.01; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 43.05%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 43.05% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors73/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 2; Small Cap Core rank 3 SVQF98/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 18.0 of 752 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options34/100VRRM shows volatility options pressure with a 48/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.12, expected move of 18.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 18.0% Sentiment40/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 55 relevant articles.
VRRM 5-DAY DEADLINE ALERT: Verra Mobility Corp. (VRRM) Insiders17 / 317 acquisitions and 3 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings3dNext report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 5.29 USD | 30.6% | 12.61 USD | 21.61 USD | -1.09 | -72.59 | 51.7M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 4.05 USD | -1.7% | 13.17 USD | 21.70 USD | -1.31 | -79.42 | 14.7M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 4.12 USD | 0.0% | 13.79 USD | 21.81 USD | -1.25 | -79.91 | 22.8M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 4.12 USD | -4.2% | 14.39 USD | 21.91 USD | -1.21 | -81.22 | 18.7M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 4.30 USD | -4.4% | 14.98 USD | 22.02 USD | -1.14 | -80.53 | 20.1M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 4.50 USD | 1.4% | 15.55 USD | 22.12 USD | -1.12 | -79.95 | 38.4M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 4.44 USD | -4.9% | 16.12 USD | 22.22 USD | -1.12 | -81.55 | 31.0M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 4.67 USD | 8.4% | 16.69 USD | 22.31 USD | -0.89 | -80.54 | 43.8M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 4.31 USD | -4.4% | 17.30 USD | 22.40 USD | -0.69 | -82.03 | 57.6M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 4.51 USD | -66.6% | 17.92 USD | 22.49 USD | -0.49 | -82.44 | 130.3M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 13.49 USD | 3.0% | 18.54 USD | 22.58 USD | -0.46 | -47.12 | 8.3M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 13.10 USD | -8.4% | 18.89 USD | 22.61 USD | -0.72 | -48.79 | 12.5M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 14.30 USD | -4.0% | 19.27 USD | 22.64 USD | -1.00 | -45.07 | 10.7M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 14.89 USD | -0.9% | 19.59 USD | 22.66 USD | -1.29 | -40.58 | 7.2M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.