ASPN NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Aspen Aerogels Inc · Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

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Latest close 4.63 USD
-0.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 31.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.9%, after a -17.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is mixed with 38/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 48/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 4d.

Setup score 31 out of 100
Latest Close 4.63 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -0.9% latest completed week
4W Return -17.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return -8.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 38.5% 20 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 11-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -0.9% Latest completed week; four-week move -17.0%. Indicator stack 59/38 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Mixed 38/100 conviction; expected move 24.6%. News sentiment 48/100 56 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 4d Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 31.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.9%, after a -17.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8012-week average 0.65

12-week confirmation

Trend active11/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership4/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.80Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -17.0% over four weeks, -8.1% over 12 weeks, and -39.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 11 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.9%
4W-17.0%
12W-8.1%
26W37.4%
52W-39.1%
Active trend streak11 weeks
Active weeks in one year20
Trend breadth38.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.15Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-110.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-13.72Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-959.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 85% Model confidence 81%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength40/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 61; rank 1 is best.
Value79/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 22; rank 1 is best.
Quality12/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 89; rank 1 is best.
Momentum10/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 91; rank 1 is best.
Growth11/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.7x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
25.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
11.9%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-45.7%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
37.9%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-47.4%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-47.3%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-38.7%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.8x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

ASPN shows mixed options pressure with a 38/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.42, expected move of 24.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction38/100
Expected move24.6%
Put/call volume1.42
Pressure-8
Speculation2
Volatility96
Trend agreement95
Open options detail
Insider activity11 / 1

11 acquisitions and 1 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment48/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 56 relevant articles.

9 positive · 33 neutral · 14 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings4dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move24.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-52.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+22.0%Week of 1 May.
Worst week-16.2%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week-0.9%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains10
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses3
Sharp losses7
Recent vol8.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol11.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.2% / -8.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape37/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 37/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis72/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 11/12, activity pressure 11/12, relative leadership 4/12.

Activity pressure 0.80; No reversal markers Factors34/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 62; Small Cap Core rank 41 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options59/100

ASPN shows mixed options pressure with a 38/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.42, expected move of 24.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 24.6% Sentiment48/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 56 relevant articles.

ASPN|Aspen Aerogels Inc|Price:4.635|Chg%:+0.125 Insiders11 / 1

11 acquisitions and 1 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings4d

Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20264.63 USD-0.9%4.36 USD11.13 USD-0.15-13.725.6MOn
24 Jul 20264.67 USD-9.0%4.30 USD11.15 USD0.24-13.454.5MOn
17 Jul 20265.13 USD-0.6%4.24 USD11.17 USD0.76-6.963.9MOn
10 Jul 20265.16 USD-7.5%4.17 USD11.19 USD1.18-8.984.8MOn
3 Jul 20265.58 USD-0.9%4.10 USD11.21 USD1.53-1.306.7MOn
26 Jun 20265.63 USD-10.9%4.04 USD11.23 USD1.700.999.3MOn
19 Jun 20266.32 USD6.8%3.95 USD11.24 USD1.7810.136.8MOn
12 Jun 20265.92 USD5.0%3.85 USD11.24 USD1.813.765.8MOn
5 Jun 20265.64 USD-11.9%3.75 USD11.26 USD1.96-1.196.5MOn
29 May 20266.40 USD10.5%3.69 USD11.27 USD2.128.647.2MOn
22 May 20265.79 USD3.4%3.75 USD11.28 USD2.03-0.636.6MOn
15 May 20265.60 USD11.1%3.84 USD11.28 USD1.73-3.8612.5MOff
8 May 20265.04 USD18.0%3.92 USD11.29 USD1.30-13.9712.5MOff
1 May 20264.27 USD22.0%4.02 USD11.31 USD0.82-25.768.0MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.