- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
BLDP
TOR
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Ballard Power Systems Inc. · Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts
Latest close
3.73 CAD
-8.8%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -15.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 21.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -8.8%, after a -26.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100.
Setup score
21
out of 100
Latest Close
3.73 CAD
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
-8.8%
latest completed week
4W Return
-26.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-34.2%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
67.3%
35 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.1x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 44.12% based on similar historical setup states.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-8.8%
Latest completed week; four-week move -26.6%.
Indicator stack
37/0
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 44.12%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
51/100
30 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -15.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 21.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -8.8%, after a -26.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.7012-week average 0.71
12-week confirmation
Trend active10/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership8/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.70Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -26.6% over four weeks, -34.2% over 12 weeks, and 49.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year35
Trend breadth67.3%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.62Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-742.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-17.68Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-234.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 02 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 76%
Model confidence 72%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength20/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Value27/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 74; rank 1 is best.
Quality3/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 98; rank 1 is best.
Momentum81/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 20; rank 1 is best.
Growth85/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 16; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 10.9x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -7.6% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 11.4% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- -61.9% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -46.1% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- -58.5% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 42.5% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 6.6x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment51/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 30 relevant articles.
6 positive · 21 neutral · 3 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-57.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility15.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+25.8%Week of 22 May.
Worst week-21.1%Week of 5 Jun.
Latest week-8.8%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains11
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses8
Recent vol15.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol11.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew8.7% / -7.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorCA Industrials
4-week rank61 / 63
Group average-2.1%
Trend breadth60.3%
Trend60.3%active weekly trend signals
MD65.1%positive activity pressure
RS55.6%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryCA Electrical Equipment & Parts
4-week rank5 / 5
Group average-7.6%
Trend breadth40.0%
Trend40.0%active weekly trend signals
MD20.0%positive activity pressure
RS40.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape24/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 24/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis65/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 10/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 8/12.
Activity pressure 0.70; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 44.12%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 44.12% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors29/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 53; Small Cap Core rank 78 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment51/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 30 relevant articles.
Ballard Power Systems Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 3.73 CAD | -8.8% | 4.42 CAD | 3.57 CAD | -0.62 | -17.68 | 6.1M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 4.09 CAD | 7.9% | 4.42 CAD | 3.58 CAD | -0.48 | -9.91 | 6.3M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 3.79 CAD | -13.1% | 4.41 CAD | 3.60 CAD | -0.37 | -16.15 | 4.4M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 4.36 CAD | -14.2% | 4.40 CAD | 3.61 CAD | -0.11 | -3.47 | 4.2M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 5.08 CAD | -1.4% | 4.38 CAD | 3.62 CAD | 0.10 | 13.14 | 3.9M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 5.15 CAD | -17.3% | 4.34 CAD | 3.62 CAD | 0.34 | 16.58 | 802.5K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 6.23 CAD | 5.8% | 4.30 CAD | 3.63 CAD | 0.79 | 42.63 | 670.4K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 5.89 CAD | -14.0% | 4.22 CAD | 3.63 CAD | 1.11 | 37.07 | 973.6K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 6.85 CAD | -21.1% | 4.17 CAD | 3.63 CAD | 1.40 | 64.00 | 2.8M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 8.68 CAD | 13.3% | 4.10 CAD | 3.62 CAD | 1.59 | 109.69 | 14.1M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 7.66 CAD | 25.8% | 3.98 CAD | 3.60 CAD | 1.43 | 92.34 | 9.7M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 6.09 CAD | 7.4% | 3.89 CAD | 3.59 CAD | 1.31 | 59.84 | 8.8M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 5.67 CAD | 23.3% | 3.85 CAD | 3.59 CAD | 1.11 | 50.43 | 12.4M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 4.60 CAD | 2.7% | 3.82 CAD | 3.59 CAD | 0.84 | 24.72 | 3.8M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.