I1NC34 SAO Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Incyte Corporation · Healthcare · Biotechnology

Latest close 305.7 BRL
3.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 16.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 99.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.6%, after a 2.9% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 56/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 54 out of 100
Latest Close 305.7 BRL 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 3.6% latest completed week
4W Return 2.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return 27.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 53.8% 28 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 2-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 25.76% based on similar historical setup states.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 16.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 99.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.6%, after a 2.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.5712-week average 0.24

12-week confirmation

Trend active2/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership7/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.57Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 2.9% over four weeks, 27.1% over 12 weeks, and 61.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 2 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W3.6%
4W2.9%
12W27.1%
26W15.5%
52W61.2%
Active trend streak2 weeks
Active weeks in one year28
Trend breadth53.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.02Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change24.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership10.57Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-6.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 14 relevant articles.

5 positive · 8 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-0.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+15.2%Week of 26 Jun.
Worst week-7.0%Week of 19 Jun.
Latest week+3.6%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains7
Flat weeks1
Modest losses13
Sharp losses1
Recent vol6.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.2% / -2.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026305.7 BRL3.6%262.7 BRL204.5 BRL1.0210.5765On
24 Jul 2026295.0 BRL-1.8%261.7 BRL203.5 BRL1.099.53155On
17 Jul 2026300.3 BRL0.0%261.1 BRL202.6 BRL1.0612.090Off
10 Jul 2026300.3 BRL1.1%260.1 BRL201.6 BRL0.909.891Off
3 Jul 2026297.0 BRL1.7%258.7 BRL200.7 BRL0.8311.33436Off
26 Jun 2026292.0 BRL15.2%258.1 BRL199.7 BRL0.3510.605Off
19 Jun 2026253.5 BRL-7.0%257.7 BRL198.8 BRL0.11-0.930Off
12 Jun 2026272.4 BRL14.4%258.5 BRL198.1 BRL-0.235.0488Off
5 Jun 2026238.1 BRL-2.4%258.9 BRL197.4 BRL-0.78-6.830Off
29 May 2026244.0 BRL1.4%260.3 BRL196.8 BRL-0.93-7.14571Off
22 May 2026240.7 BRL0.8%260.4 BRL196.2 BRL-1.19-9.47101Off
15 May 2026238.9 BRL-0.7%260.6 BRL195.7 BRL-1.29-10.5726Off
8 May 2026240.5 BRL-2.7%260.3 BRL195.3 BRL-1.29-13.1820Off
1 May 2026247.2 BRL4.7%259.9 BRL194.8 BRL-1.27-12.5351Off
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.