HLIT NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Harmonic Inc · Technology · Communication Equipment

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Latest close 11.55 USD
3.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is -0.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 33.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.2%, after a -17.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 54/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 34 out of 100
Latest Close 11.55 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 3.2% latest completed week
4W Return -17.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return -9.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 69.2% 36 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 14-week active streak.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 3.2% Latest completed week; four-week move -17.9%. Indicator stack 83/31 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 54/100 conviction; expected move 22.3%. News sentiment 54/100 54 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 27 Jul Latest stored earnings date was 27 Jul 2026.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is -0.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 33.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.2%, after a -17.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.5x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6812-week average 0.68

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership10/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.68Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -17.9% over four weeks, -9.8% over 12 weeks, and 38.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 14 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W3.2%
4W-17.9%
12W-9.8%
26W18.8%
52W38.3%
Active trend streak14 weeks
Active weeks in one year36
Trend breadth69.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.43Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-136.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-1.66Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-110.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 90%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength16/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 85; rank 1 is best.
Value13/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 88; rank 1 is best.
Quality29/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 72; rank 1 is best.
Momentum78/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 23; rank 1 is best.
Growth13/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 88; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework22/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
25.3x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
5.4%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
50.5%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
7.7%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
13.3%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
5.0%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-27.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-47.9%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
6.6%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
6.6%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.5x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

HLIT shows volatility options pressure with a 54/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.01, expected move of 22.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction54/100
Expected move22.3%
Put/call volume0.01
Pressure100
Speculation10
Volatility96
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity6 / 14

6 acquisitions and 14 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 54 relevant articles.

18 positive · 29 neutral · 7 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings27 JulLatest stored earnings date was 27 Jul 2026.
Options expected move22.3%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-34.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility9.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+21.2%Week of 22 May.
Worst week-14.4%Week of 17 Jul.
Latest week+3.2%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses5
Recent vol9.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.0% / -4.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape43/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 43/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis75/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 10/12.

Activity pressure 0.68; 2 reversal markers Factors31/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 9; Small Cap Core rank 76 SVQF22/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 563.5 of 726 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options36/100

HLIT shows volatility options pressure with a 54/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.01, expected move of 22.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 22.3% Sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 54 relevant articles.

Harmonic Inc (HLIT) Technical Analysis: Support, Resistance, Indicators & Moving Averages Insiders6 / 14

6 acquisitions and 14 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings27 Jul

Latest stored earnings date was 27 Jul 2026.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202611.55 USD3.2%11.59 USD11.21 USD-0.43-1.666.8MOn
24 Jul 202611.19 USD-7.0%11.53 USD11.21 USD-0.03-4.036.4MOn
17 Jul 202612.03 USD-14.4%11.49 USD11.23 USD0.521.588.1MOn
10 Jul 202614.05 USD-0.1%11.42 USD11.26 USD0.9513.807.3MOn
3 Jul 202614.07 USD-5.6%11.30 USD11.27 USD1.1716.3910.4MOn
26 Jun 202614.90 USD-1.2%11.15 USD11.28 USD1.3124.6014.0MOn
19 Jun 202615.08 USD1.0%10.97 USD11.29 USD1.4620.9510.7MOn
12 Jun 202614.93 USD12.5%10.76 USD11.30 USD1.6223.4313.2MOn
5 Jun 202613.27 USD-12.2%10.59 USD11.32 USD1.7012.7322.2MOn
29 May 202615.11 USD-0.6%10.48 USD11.35 USD1.8422.7043.5MOn
22 May 202615.20 USD21.2%10.33 USD11.36 USD1.7427.4520.4MOn
15 May 202612.54 USD-2.1%10.17 USD11.37 USD1.296.8718.7MOn
8 May 202612.81 USD8.9%10.09 USD11.40 USD0.908.738.6MOn
1 May 202611.76 USD11.4%9.99 USD11.42 USD0.305.236.9MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.