NRAIL NSI Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

N R Agarwal Industries Limited · Basic Materials · Paper & Paper Products

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Latest close 473.4 INR
-7.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 5.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 70.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -7.0%, after a 11.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100.

Setup score 56 out of 100
Latest Close 473.4 INR 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -7.0% latest completed week
4W Return 11.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return -6.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 65.4% 34 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 2-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • The latest week was a sharp negative move.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -7.0% Latest completed week; four-week move 11.9%. Indicator stack 43/38 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. News sentiment 51/100 9 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 5.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 70.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -7.0%, after a 11.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.6x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4012-week average 0.52

12-week confirmation

Trend active3/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership10/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.40Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 11.9% over four weeks, -6.4% over 12 weeks, and 30.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 2 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-7.0%
4W11.9%
12W-6.4%
26W6.9%
52W30.0%
Active trend streak2 weeks
Active weeks in one year34
Trend breadth65.4%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.27Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-91.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership8.14Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change991.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 90%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength87/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 14; rank 1 is best.
Value87/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 14; rank 1 is best.
Quality19/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 82; rank 1 is best.
Momentum92/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 9; rank 1 is best.
Growth95/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 6; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework51/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
19.8x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
8.7x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-11.8%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
32.7%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
4.9%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-9.3%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
4.9%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
29.3%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
147.6%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-452.0%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.4%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.4%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
4.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 9 relevant articles.

1 positive · 7 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-11.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+19.0%Week of 24 Jul.
Worst week-9.4%Week of 15 May.
Latest week-7.0%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses4
Recent vol6.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.8% / -3.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape53/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 53/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis37/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 3/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 10/12.

Activity pressure 0.40; 4 reversal markers Factors69/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Tiny Titans rank 3; Buyback Yield rank 34; Small Cap Core rank 10 SVQF51/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 773.5 of 1590 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 9 relevant articles.

Buzzing stocks today: Jewellers, Texmaco Rail, Active Clothing, Choice Intl, NR Agarwal Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026473.4 INR-7.0%450.3 INR397.4 INR-0.278.1454.5KOn
24 Jul 2026509.0 INR19.0%450.4 INR396.4 INR-0.3719.86175.8KOn
17 Jul 2026427.8 INR-0.5%449.4 INR395.0 INR-0.59-0.8022.6KOff
10 Jul 2026429.8 INR1.6%450.6 INR394.1 INR-0.280.5516.0KOff
3 Jul 2026423.0 INR-7.1%452.1 INR393.1 INR-0.14-0.9128.5KOff
26 Jun 2026455.4 INR-1.6%453.3 INR392.3 INR-0.047.980On
19 Jun 2026462.6 INR3.2%453.6 INR391.2 INR-0.0610.529.9KOff
12 Jun 2026448.5 INR-3.7%454.9 INR390.1 INR-0.109.601.4KOff
5 Jun 2026465.5 INR3.7%456.8 INR389.1 INR0.0315.60663Off
29 May 2026449.1 INR-1.6%456.2 INR388.0 INR0.3811.846.9KOff
22 May 2026456.2 INR-0.5%455.7 INR386.9 INR0.6813.8717.9KOff
15 May 2026458.4 INR-9.4%456.2 INR385.7 INR0.6915.9034.4KOff
8 May 2026506.0 INR5.4%456.5 INR384.4 INR0.6826.4078.9KOff
1 May 2026479.9 INR1.4%454.5 INR382.7 INR0.2022.3953.5KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.