ORA VIE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Orange S.A. · Communication Services · Telecom Services

Latest close 16.45 EUR
1.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 66.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.8%, after a 3.5% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 64/100.

Setup score 57 out of 100
Latest Close 16.45 EUR 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 1.8% latest completed week
4W Return 3.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return -5.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 92.3% 48 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 2.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 61.13% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 66.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.8%, after a 3.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 2.6x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.5812-week average 0.76

12-week confirmation

Trend active8/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership2/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.58Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers33 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 3 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 3.5% over four weeks, -5.2% over 12 weeks, and 22.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.8%
4W3.5%
12W-5.2%
26W5.3%
52W22.7%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year48
Trend breadth92.3%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.00Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-20.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-11.07Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change32.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment64/100

Weighted news tone is positive across 2 relevant articles.

1 positive · 1 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-9.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+6.0%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-6.7%Week of 3 Jul.
Latest week+1.8%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains12
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses4
Recent vol3.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.4% / -2.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202616.45 EUR1.8%16.84 EUR11.83 EUR-1.00-11.071.8KOff
24 Jul 202616.17 EUR-2.3%16.77 EUR11.78 EUR-1.07-12.880Off
17 Jul 202616.55 EUR4.3%16.70 EUR11.74 EUR-0.92-9.761.4KOff
10 Jul 202615.86 EUR-0.3%16.61 EUR11.69 EUR-0.95-15.262.6KOff
3 Jul 202615.90 EUR-6.7%16.54 EUR11.65 EUR-0.83-16.28938On
26 Jun 202617.04 EUR0.3%16.47 EUR11.60 EUR-0.85-8.41558On
19 Jun 202617.00 EUR-4.4%16.37 EUR11.55 EUR-0.84-10.450On
12 Jun 202617.77 EUR4.7%16.25 EUR11.50 EUR-0.70-2.510On
5 Jun 202616.98 EUR-3.2%16.12 EUR11.44 EUR-0.68-4.220On
29 May 202617.54 EUR-1.3%16.01 EUR11.39 EUR-0.45-2.14162On
22 May 202617.76 EUR-0.8%15.88 EUR11.34 EUR-0.341.890On
15 May 202617.91 EUR3.1%15.74 EUR11.29 EUR-0.274.950On
8 May 202617.37 EUR0.6%15.61 EUR11.23 EUR-0.171.601.4KOn
1 May 202617.26 EUR0.1%15.48 EUR11.18 EUR-0.072.67575On
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.