AXON NASDAQ Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Axon Enterprise Inc. · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

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Latest close 502.3 USD
-1.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 5.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 29.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.6%, after a 8.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is mixed with 37/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 55/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 2d.

Setup score 35 out of 100
Latest Close 502.3 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -1.6% latest completed week
4W Return 8.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return 24.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 21.2% 11 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -1.6% Latest completed week; four-week move 8.1%. Indicator stack 12/77 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Mixed 37/100 conviction; expected move 2.7%. News sentiment 55/100 37 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 2d Next report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 5.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 29.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.6%, after a 8.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3012-week average 0.11

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.30Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 8.1% over four weeks, 24.9% over 12 weeks, and -31.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-1.6%
4W8.1%
12W24.9%
26W-18.1%
52W-31.7%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year11
Trend breadth21.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.10Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change89.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-19.09Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change38.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 93%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength1/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 100; rank 1 is best.
Value1/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 100; rank 1 is best.
Quality24/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 77; rank 1 is best.
Momentum10/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 91; rank 1 is best.
Growth37/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 64; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
196.3x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
13.6x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
108.4x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
0.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
59.3%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
10.0%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
9.7%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
4.5%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
34.0%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-37.8%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-46.3%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-1.2%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-1.2%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
3.5x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

AXON shows mixed options pressure with a 37/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.30, expected move of 2.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction37/100
Expected move2.7%
Put/call volume1.30
Pressure-13
Speculation41
Volatility47
Trend agreement71
Open options detail
Insider activity2 / 18

2 acquisitions and 18 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 37 relevant articles.

13 positive · 18 neutral · 6 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings2dNext report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move2.7%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-43.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility10.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+28.4%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-21.1%Week of 30 Jan.
Latest week-1.6%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses9
Recent vol10.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol9.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.0% / -7.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape28/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 28/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis28/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.30; No reversal markers Factors8/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 77 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options53/100

AXON shows mixed options pressure with a 37/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.30, expected move of 2.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 2.7% Sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 37 relevant articles.

Axon Enterprise (AXON) Stock Drops Despite Market Gains: Important Facts to Note Insiders2 / 18

2 acquisitions and 18 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings2d

Next report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.

 Research flow2 items

0 recent research articles and 2 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 2026502.3 USD-1.6%477.6 USD466.4 USD1.10-19.093.3MOff
17 Jul 2026510.3 USD-9.8%480.3 USD464.4 USD1.16-20.093.5MOff
10 Jul 2026565.8 USD-5.2%483.1 USD462.3 USD1.03-16.165.8MOff
3 Jul 2026597.0 USD28.4%483.0 USD459.9 USD0.72-10.936.3MOff
26 Jun 2026464.8 USD9.8%481.5 USD457.3 USD0.58-30.905.8MOff
19 Jun 2026423.4 USD-4.1%484.0 USD455.5 USD0.46-40.894.6MOff
12 Jun 2026441.7 USD-9.1%487.3 USD454.0 USD0.30-37.814.2MOff
5 Jun 2026486.1 USD8.3%491.1 USD452.5 USD0.23-31.167.0MOff
29 May 2026448.7 USD16.2%494.9 USD450.6 USD-0.02-40.255.6MOff
22 May 2026386.0 USD-1.5%504.4 USD449.0 USD-0.36-47.945.2MOff
15 May 2026391.9 USD-2.9%516.0 USD447.8 USD-0.55-47.395.7MOff
8 May 2026403.5 USD0.3%525.3 USD446.5 USD-0.74-46.839.0MOff
1 May 2026402.3 USD1.3%535.3 USD445.2 USD-0.94-44.924.2MOff
24 Apr 2026397.1 USD-1.4%545.8 USD444.0 USD-0.95-45.464.3MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.