TUYA NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Tuya Inc ADR · Technology · Software - Infrastructure

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Latest close 1.68 USD
1.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -21.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 5.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.8%, after a -4.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 43/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 47/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 16d.

Setup score 20 out of 100
Latest Close 1.68 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 1.8% latest completed week
4W Return -4.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return -32.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 11.5% 6 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 1.8% Latest completed week; four-week move -4.5%. Indicator stack 6/27 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bullish 43/100 conviction; expected move 13.2%. News sentiment 47/100 13 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 16d Next report is scheduled for 18 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -21.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 5.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.8%, after a -4.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0912-week average 0.42

12-week confirmation

Trend active2/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.09Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -4.5% over four weeks, -32.3% over 12 weeks, and -24.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.8%
4W-4.5%
12W-32.3%
26W-17.5%
52W-24.7%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year6
Trend breadth11.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.23Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-6.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-30.35Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-3.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength85/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 16; rank 1 is best.
Value92/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 9; rank 1 is best.
Quality82/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 19; rank 1 is best.
Momentum12/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 89; rank 1 is best.
Growth84/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 17; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework57/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
16.1x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
3.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
1.7x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
94.8%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
47.8%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
3.4%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
31.5%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
10.6%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
5.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
221.2%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-13.9%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
3.7%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
3.7%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-14.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

TUYA shows bullish options pressure with a 43/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.03, expected move of 13.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction43/100
Expected move13.2%
Put/call volume0.03
Pressure82
Speculation3
Volatility79
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment47/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 13 relevant articles.

2 positive · 8 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings16dNext report is scheduled for 18 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move13.2%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-40.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+14.9%Week of 27 Feb.
Worst week-10.9%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+1.8%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses7
Recent vol5.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.7% / -4.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape22/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 22/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis18/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 2/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.09; No reversal markers Factors69/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 43; Small Cap Core rank 23 SVQF57/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 430.5 of 1006 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options43/100

TUYA shows bullish options pressure with a 43/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.03, expected move of 13.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 13.2% Sentiment47/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 13 relevant articles.

Tuya (NYSE:TUYA) Sets New 1-Year Low - What's Next? Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings16d

Next report is scheduled for 18 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20261.68 USD1.8%2.13 USD2.00 USD-1.23-30.352.8MOff
24 Jul 20261.65 USD-5.2%2.15 USD1.99 USD-1.22-31.413.1MOff
17 Jul 20261.74 USD-5.4%2.16 USD1.99 USD-1.19-28.764.6MOff
10 Jul 20261.84 USD4.5%2.18 USD1.99 USD-1.22-26.514.0MOff
3 Jul 20261.76 USD-2.2%2.19 USD1.99 USD-1.15-29.342.9MOff
26 Jun 20261.80 USD-3.7%2.21 USD1.99 USD-1.13-26.804.3MOff
19 Jun 20261.87 USD-7.0%2.22 USD1.99 USD-1.05-26.295.7MOff
12 Jun 20262.01 USD3.1%2.23 USD1.99 USD-0.99-20.6513.2MOff
5 Jun 20261.95 USD-8.0%2.23 USD1.99 USD-0.87-23.205.7MOff
29 May 20262.12 USD2.4%2.23 USD1.98 USD-0.27-19.433.0MOff
22 May 20262.07 USD-6.3%2.23 USD1.98 USD0.13-20.734.1MOn
15 May 20262.21 USD-10.9%2.24 USD1.98 USD0.54-15.255.2MOn
8 May 20262.48 USD5.1%2.24 USD1.98 USD0.90-5.494.0MOn
1 May 20262.36 USD-1.7%2.24 USD1.97 USD0.76-8.284.8MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.