FSBW NASDAQ Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

FS Bancorp Inc · Financial Services · Banks - Regional

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Latest close 43.61 USD
-1.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 77.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.0%, after a 0.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 55/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 82d.

Setup score 59 out of 100
Latest Close 43.61 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -1.0% latest completed week
4W Return 0.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return 7.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 55.8% 29 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 4-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 1 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -1.0% Latest completed week; four-week move 0.9%. Indicator stack 45/75 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. News sentiment 55/100 53 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 82d Next report is scheduled for 20 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 77.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.0%, after a 0.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.6x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6912-week average 0.42

12-week confirmation

Trend active4/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.69Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers11 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 1 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 0.9% over four weeks, 7.7% over 12 weeks, and 9.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 4 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-1.0%
4W0.9%
12W7.7%
26W6.4%
52W9.9%
Active trend streak4 weeks
Active weeks in one year29
Trend breadth55.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.27Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change23.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-1.27Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change80.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 100%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength83/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 18; rank 1 is best.
Value79/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 22; rank 1 is best.
Quality76/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 25; rank 1 is best.
Momentum33/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 68; rank 1 is best.
Growth3/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 98; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework22/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
9.7x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.8x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
23.5x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
13.4%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
57.8%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
14.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
51.9%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
3.0%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-17.2%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-0.2%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
3.1%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
4.5%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
7.7%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
12.5x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity15 / 0

15 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 53 relevant articles.

17 positive · 31 neutral · 5 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings82dNext report is scheduled for 20 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-4.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+4.4%Week of 12 Jun.
Worst week-5.7%Week of 27 Feb.
Latest week-1.0%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains1
Modest gains13
Flat weeks0
Modest losses11
Sharp losses1
Recent vol2.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.5% / -2.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape57/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 57/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis48/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 4/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.69; 1 reversal markers Factors68/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 13; Small Cap Core rank 15 SVQF22/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 568.5 of 726 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 53 relevant articles.

FSBW5169870 Bond Coupon Profile — Rate & Payments Insiders15 / 0

15 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings82d

Next report is scheduled for 20 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202643.61 USD-1.0%40.96 USD36.90 USD1.27-1.27129.2KOn
17 Jul 202644.03 USD2.1%40.89 USD36.80 USD1.33-2.1085.2KOn
10 Jul 202643.13 USD-1.8%40.84 USD36.71 USD1.22-8.3074.1KOn
3 Jul 202643.92 USD1.6%40.82 USD36.61 USD1.18-5.3368.4KOn
26 Jun 202643.22 USD3.7%40.68 USD36.51 USD1.03-6.40207.1KOff
19 Jun 202641.69 USD-2.3%40.59 USD36.41 USD0.66-14.0071.9KOff
12 Jun 202642.67 USD4.4%40.53 USD36.32 USD0.52-9.9971.3KOff
5 Jun 202640.89 USD0.4%40.41 USD36.21 USD0.19-12.0477.1KOff
29 May 202640.71 USD-0.7%40.40 USD36.13 USD0.04-16.6734.9KOff
22 May 202641.00 USD3.5%40.31 USD36.05 USD0.04-14.0651.9KOff
15 May 202639.60 USD-3.2%40.22 USD35.95 USD0.11-16.3849.8KOff
8 May 202640.91 USD1.0%40.13 USD35.86 USD0.09-14.3753.8KOff
1 May 202640.51 USD-1.7%40.00 USD35.76 USD0.02-11.1077.8KOff
24 Apr 202641.20 USD1.5%39.95 USD35.67 USD-0.22-8.67153.1KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.