NATL NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

NCR Atleos Corporation · Technology · Software - Application

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Latest close 47.03 USD
-1.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 8.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 91.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.5%, after a 5.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 46/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; earnings are due in 3d.

Setup score 68 out of 100
Latest Close 47.03 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -1.5% latest completed week
4W Return 5.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return 6.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 98.1% 51 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 51-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -1.5% Latest completed week; four-week move 5.5%. Indicator stack 99/63 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bullish 46/100 conviction; expected move 5.9%. News sentiment 50/100 42 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 3d Next report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 8.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 91.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.5%, after a 5.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6312-week average 0.71

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure3/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership3/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.63Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 5.5% over four weeks, 6.2% over 12 weeks, and 55.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 51 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-1.5%
4W5.5%
12W6.2%
26W26.1%
52W55.5%
Active trend streak51 weeks
Active weeks in one year51
Trend breadth98.1%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.17Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change125.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership4.61Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change283.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 90%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength91/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
Value70/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 31; rank 1 is best.
Quality78/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 23; rank 1 is best.
Momentum90/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 11; rank 1 is best.
Growth30/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 71; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
20.0x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.8x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
8.0x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
6.1%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
24.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
10.8%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
8.3%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
14.1%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
4.1%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
50.4%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-19.0%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.5%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.5%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
3.3x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

NATL shows bullish options pressure with a 46/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 5.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction46/100
Expected move5.9%
Put/call volume0.00
Pressure100
Speculation1
Volatility41
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 42 relevant articles.

4 positive · 37 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings3dNext report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move5.9%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-3.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility1.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.7%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-3.9%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week-1.5%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains11
Flat weeks0
Modest losses11
Sharp losses0
Recent vol1.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.4% / -1.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape69/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 69/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis47/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 3/12, relative leadership 3/12.

Activity pressure 0.63; 4 reversal markers Factors82/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 35; Small Cap Core rank 69 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options45/100

NATL shows bullish options pressure with a 46/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 5.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 5.9% Sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 42 relevant articles.

NCR Atleos Corporation $NATL Stake Boosted by First Trust Advisors LP Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings3d

Next report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202647.03 USD-1.5%43.57 USD31.78 USD0.174.613.4MOn
24 Jul 202647.75 USD0.7%43.24 USD31.68 USD-0.077.223.1MOn
17 Jul 202647.43 USD5.6%42.95 USD31.57 USD-0.295.452.2MOn
10 Jul 202644.93 USD0.8%42.66 USD31.46 USD-0.61-3.712.1MOn
3 Jul 202644.57 USD3.1%42.46 USD31.36 USD-0.69-2.513.5MOn
26 Jun 202643.23 USD-0.9%42.20 USD31.27 USD-0.80-4.366.0MOn
19 Jun 202643.63 USD-1.4%42.00 USD31.18 USD-0.84-7.623.0MOn
12 Jun 202644.27 USD0.3%41.73 USD31.10 USD-0.70-3.602.2MOn
5 Jun 202644.15 USD-1.0%41.43 USD31.00 USD-0.44-1.342.9MOn
29 May 202644.60 USD-0.2%41.15 USD30.91 USD-0.16-4.492.6MOn
22 May 202644.69 USD0.3%40.89 USD30.81 USD0.08-1.253.6MOn
15 May 202644.55 USD0.6%40.67 USD30.70 USD0.31-0.017.1MOn
8 May 202644.27 USD-0.6%40.42 USD30.60 USD0.48-0.674.1MOn
1 May 202644.52 USD-0.0%40.20 USD30.50 USD0.595.622.6MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.