TKO NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

TKO Group Holdings, Inc. · Communication Services · Entertainment

Open interactive chart View report data
Latest close 180.6 USD
-2.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -8.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 40.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.4%, after a -16.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 50/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 2d.

Setup score 30 out of 100
Latest Close 180.6 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -2.4% latest completed week
4W Return -16.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return -2.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 65.4% 34 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 64.31% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -2.4% Latest completed week; four-week move -16.3%. Indicator stack 36/32 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 64.31% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bullish 50/100 conviction; expected move 8.8%. News sentiment 50/100 13 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 2d Next report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -8.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 40.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.4%, after a -16.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4012-week average 0.31

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.40Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers77 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 7 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -16.3% over four weeks, -2.5% over 12 weeks, and 7.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-2.4%
4W-16.3%
12W-2.5%
26W-11.2%
52W7.9%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year34
Trend breadth65.4%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.29Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-159.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-13.86Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-475.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 93%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength42/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 59; rank 1 is best.
Value25/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
Quality67/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 34; rank 1 is best.
Momentum67/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 34; rank 1 is best.
Growth74/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
59.8x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.7x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
15.0x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
8.9%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
51.5%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
18.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
38.4%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
12.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
9.0%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
31.9%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
120.8%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.7%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
12.6%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
14.3%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

TKO shows bullish options pressure with a 50/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.07, expected move of 8.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction50/100
Expected move8.8%
Put/call volume0.07
Pressure95
Speculation17
Volatility67
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 13 relevant articles.

2 positive · 10 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings2dNext report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move8.8%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-19.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.6%Week of 26 Jun.
Worst week-9.9%Week of 3 Jul.
Latest week-2.4%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses5
Recent vol4.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.5% / -3.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape34/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 34/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis18/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 5/12, relative leadership 1/12.

Activity pressure 0.40; 7 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 64.31%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 64.31% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors49/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 4; Small Cap Core rank 68 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options47/100

TKO shows bullish options pressure with a 50/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.07, expected move of 8.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 8.8% Sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 13 relevant articles.

TKO Group (NYSE:TKO) Receives "Buy" Rating from BTIG Research Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings2d

Next report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 2026180.6 USD-2.4%197.3 USD143.3 USD-0.29-13.863.9MOff
17 Jul 2026185.1 USD0.4%198.4 USD143.1 USD0.12-12.356.2MOff
10 Jul 2026184.4 USD-5.2%199.3 USD142.8 USD0.44-14.176.1MOff
3 Jul 2026194.4 USD-9.9%200.0 USD142.5 USD0.64-8.467.9MOff
26 Jun 2026215.9 USD8.6%200.2 USD142.1 USD0.493.706.6MOff
19 Jun 2026198.8 USD-1.9%199.4 USD141.6 USD0.18-6.7512.4MOff
12 Jun 2026202.6 USD-0.1%198.7 USD141.2 USD-0.22-4.275.8MOff
5 Jun 2026202.7 USD-0.8%198.0 USD140.8 USD-0.45-3.655.7MOff
29 May 2026204.4 USD7.1%197.2 USD140.4 USD-0.51-5.295.9MOff
22 May 2026190.8 USD0.8%196.6 USD139.9 USD-0.68-10.295.4MOff
15 May 2026189.3 USD1.8%196.4 USD139.6 USD-0.69-10.278.5MOff
8 May 2026186.1 USD0.5%196.4 USD139.2 USD-0.69-11.748.6MOff
1 May 2026185.2 USD-0.3%196.3 USD138.9 USD-0.72-10.245.1MOff
24 Apr 2026185.8 USD0.1%196.6 USD138.5 USD-0.58-9.345.6MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.