- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 56.46% based on similar historical setup states.
GBF
VIE
Week ended 24 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Bilfinger SE · Industrials · Engineering & Construction
Latest close
81.95 EUR
-1.8%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -16.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 5.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.8%, after a -0.1% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 58/100.
Setup score
38
out of 100
Latest Close
81.95 EUR
24 Jul 2026
1W Return
-1.8%
latest completed week
4W Return
-0.1%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-14.4%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
65.4%
34 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
2.0x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-1.8%
Latest completed week; four-week move -0.1%.
Indicator stack
36/38
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 56.46%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
58/100
2 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -16.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 5.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.8%, after a -0.1% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 2.0x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0212-week average 0.18
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.02Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -0.1% over four weeks, -14.4% over 12 weeks, and -8.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year34
Trend breadth65.4%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.81Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change28.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-29.62Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change4.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment58/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.
1 positive · 1 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-34.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
30 Jan
27 Feb
27 Mar
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
24 Jul
Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.5%Week of 19 Jun.
Worst week-13.5%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week-1.8%Week of 24 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses7
Recent vol5.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.8% / -4.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAT Industrials
4-week rank- / 100
Group average0.3%
Trend breadth60.0%
Trend60.0%active weekly trend signals
MD61.0%positive activity pressure
RS27.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAT Engineering & Construction
4-week rank1 / 11
Group average-7.3%
Trend breadth45.5%
Trend45.5%active weekly trend signals
MD9.1%positive activity pressure
RS18.2%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape37/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 37/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis9/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.02; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 56.46%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.46% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment58/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.
Enterprise value to EBITDA forward of Bilfinger SE – FWB:GBF Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 81.95 EUR | -1.8% | 98.23 EUR | 62.77 EUR | -0.81 | -29.62 | 372 | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 83.45 EUR | 0.3% | 99.00 EUR | 62.44 EUR | -0.86 | -27.81 | 40 | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 83.20 EUR | -6.3% | 99.72 EUR | 62.10 EUR | -0.81 | -29.91 | 241 | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 88.75 EUR | 8.2% | 100.4 EUR | 61.77 EUR | -0.91 | -26.72 | 310 | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 82.00 EUR | -5.3% | 100.7 EUR | 61.40 EUR | -1.13 | -30.96 | 45 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 86.60 EUR | 8.5% | 101.2 EUR | 61.08 EUR | -1.19 | -28.78 | 0 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 79.85 EUR | -1.5% | 101.3 EUR | 60.70 EUR | -1.27 | -31.76 | 0 | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 81.05 EUR | -7.8% | 101.7 EUR | 60.38 EUR | -1.16 | -29.03 | 0 | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 87.90 EUR | -0.4% | 101.9 EUR | 60.05 EUR | -1.06 | -24.14 | 308 | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 88.25 EUR | 4.7% | 102.0 EUR | 59.68 EUR | -1.05 | -21.95 | 75 | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 84.33 EUR | -12.8% | 102.2 EUR | 59.31 EUR | -1.02 | -24.04 | 992 | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 96.73 EUR | 1.0% | 102.4 EUR | 58.97 EUR | -0.96 | -13.36 | 0 | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 95.76 EUR | -0.4% | 102.5 EUR | 58.56 EUR | -0.89 | -12.92 | 0 | Off |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 96.10 EUR | -10.4% | 102.3 EUR | 58.17 EUR | -0.80 | -12.05 | 0 | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.