PAYX VIE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Paychex, Inc. · Technology · Software - Application

Latest close 100.8 EUR
2.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 19.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 63.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.3%, after a 10.1% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 51 out of 100
Latest Close 100.8 EUR 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 2.3% latest completed week
4W Return 10.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return 28.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 5.8% 3 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 3-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 19.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 63.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.3%, after a 10.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.5312-week average 0.34

12-week confirmation

Trend active3/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.53Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 10.1% over four weeks, 28.6% over 12 weeks, and -15.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 3 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W2.3%
4W10.1%
12W28.6%
26W19.7%
52W-15.4%
Active trend streak3 weeks
Active weeks in one year3
Trend breadth5.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.72Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change25.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-9.65Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change58.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 4 relevant articles.

1 positive · 3 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-13.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.9%Week of 6 Mar.
Worst week-6.6%Week of 10 Apr.
Latest week+2.3%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses3
Recent vol2.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split21/31Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.0% / -2.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026100.8 EUR2.3%84.24 EUR106.0 EUR1.72-9.65101On
24 Jul 202698.58 EUR0.3%83.91 EUR106.0 EUR1.75-12.730On
17 Jul 202698.26 EUR5.9%83.77 EUR106.0 EUR1.65-12.82253On
10 Jul 202692.82 EUR1.4%83.63 EUR106.0 EUR1.51-20.11869Off
3 Jul 202691.55 EUR6.6%83.75 EUR106.0 EUR1.37-23.16144Off
26 Jun 202685.86 EUR0.6%83.85 EUR106.0 EUR1.27-27.140Off
19 Jun 202685.39 EUR-1.6%84.12 EUR106.1 EUR1.25-29.850Off
12 Jun 202686.76 EUR0.0%84.38 EUR106.1 EUR1.24-26.850Off
5 Jun 202686.72 EUR4.5%84.60 EUR106.1 EUR1.14-25.930Off
29 May 202682.96 EUR0.2%84.85 EUR106.2 EUR1.07-30.980Off
22 May 202682.78 EUR5.7%85.36 EUR106.2 EUR0.96-30.350Off
15 May 202678.35 EUR-0.1%86.04 EUR106.3 EUR0.61-33.720Off
8 May 202678.42 EUR-0.0%86.89 EUR106.3 EUR0.29-34.96124Off
1 May 202678.43 EUR4.1%87.75 EUR106.4 EUR-0.17-34.940Off
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.