VNOM NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Viper Energy Ut · Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

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Latest close 44.61 USD
-1.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 1.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 64.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.2%, after a 9.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 50/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 57/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 2d.

Setup score 54 out of 100
Latest Close 44.61 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -1.2% latest completed week
4W Return 9.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return -3.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 48.1% 25 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 57.01% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • 1 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -1.2% Latest completed week; four-week move 9.5%. Indicator stack 26/39 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 57.01% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bullish 50/100 conviction; expected move 8.1%. News sentiment 57/100 63 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 2d Next report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 1.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 64.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.2%, after a 9.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3812-week average 0.72

12-week confirmation

Trend active7/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership2/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.38Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers11 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 1 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 9.5% over four weeks, -3.3% over 12 weeks, and 28.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-1.2%
4W9.5%
12W-3.3%
26W8.1%
52W28.8%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year25
Trend breadth48.1%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.71Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change23.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-0.03Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change99.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 93%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength24/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 77; rank 1 is best.
Value26/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 75; rank 1 is best.
Quality29/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 72; rank 1 is best.
Momentum72/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 29; rank 1 is best.
Growth88/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 13; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
5.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
33.9x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
46.0%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
46.7%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
2.7%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
416.3%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
0.5%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
92.3%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
285.5%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
3/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
5.1%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
3.3%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
8.4%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
3.4x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

VNOM shows bullish options pressure with a 50/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.04, expected move of 8.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction51/100
Expected move8.1%
Put/call volume0.04
Pressure100
Speculation12
Volatility59
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 63 relevant articles.

23 positive · 36 neutral · 4 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings2dNext report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move8.1%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-11.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.7%Week of 20 Mar.
Worst week-6.2%Week of 8 May.
Latest week-1.2%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses4
Recent vol3.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.5% / -3.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape50/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 50/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis35/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 7/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 2/12.

Activity pressure 0.38; 1 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 57.01%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 57.01% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors35/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 17; Small Cap Core rank 64 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options47/100

VNOM shows bullish options pressure with a 50/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.04, expected move of 8.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 8.1% Sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 63 relevant articles.

Is PBF Energy (PBF) Stock Outpacing Its Oils-Energy Peers This Year? Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings2d

Next report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202644.61 USD-1.2%43.97 USD37.49 USD-0.71-0.037.5MOff
24 Jul 202645.13 USD1.7%43.74 USD37.36 USD-0.851.766.1MOff
17 Jul 202644.38 USD5.6%43.47 USD37.21 USD-0.96-1.467.2MOff
10 Jul 202642.03 USD3.1%43.23 USD37.07 USD-1.01-10.619.3MOff
3 Jul 202640.75 USD-4.3%43.14 USD36.94 USD-0.94-11.978.5MOff
26 Jun 202642.57 USD-1.5%43.10 USD36.81 USD-0.83-7.469.8MOn
19 Jun 202643.21 USD-2.6%42.86 USD36.68 USD-0.74-10.4610.3MOn
12 Jun 202644.38 USD-2.4%42.59 USD36.54 USD-0.57-5.9910.2MOn
5 Jun 202645.46 USD-0.1%42.35 USD36.39 USD-0.28-1.928.2MOn
29 May 202645.50 USD-3.0%42.03 USD36.24 USD-0.08-6.517.1MOn
22 May 202646.89 USD-4.3%41.72 USD36.09 USD0.41-1.197.6MOn
15 May 202648.98 USD6.2%41.35 USD35.93 USD0.754.216.6MOn
8 May 202646.13 USD-6.2%40.87 USD35.77 USD0.85-2.349.7MOn
1 May 202649.20 USD4.9%40.51 USD35.61 USD0.989.466.3MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.