OCA NZE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Oceania Healthcare Limited · Healthcare · Medical Care Facilities

Latest close 0.76 NZD
-1.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 43.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.3%, after a 0.7% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 56/100.

Setup score 43 out of 100
Latest Close 0.76 NZD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -1.3% latest completed week
4W Return 0.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return 6.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 51.9% 27 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 44.22% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 43.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.3%, after a 0.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2812-week average 0.14

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure6/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.28Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 0.7% over four weeks, 6.3% over 12 weeks, and 9.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-1.3%
4W0.7%
12W6.3%
26W-11.2%
52W9.4%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year27
Trend breadth51.9%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.58Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change198.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-4.42Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change3.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 33 relevant articles.

10 positive · 22 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-18.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.2%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-5.3%Week of 8 May.
Latest week-1.3%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains8
Flat weeks1
Modest losses9
Sharp losses5
Recent vol3.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.5% / -2.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20260.76 NZD-1.3%0.77 NZD0.72 NZD0.58-4.422.2MOff
24 Jul 20260.77 NZD1.3%0.77 NZD0.72 NZD0.60-3.641.5MOff
17 Jul 20260.76 NZD1.3%0.78 NZD0.72 NZD0.48-4.303.1MOff
10 Jul 20260.74 NZD-0.7%0.78 NZD0.72 NZD0.31-6.191.2MOff
3 Jul 20260.75 NZD0.7%0.79 NZD0.72 NZD0.19-4.592.8MOff
26 Jun 20260.74 NZD-0.7%0.79 NZD0.72 NZD-0.01-4.35826.7KOff
19 Jun 20260.75 NZD1.4%0.80 NZD0.72 NZD0.04-3.62678.0KOff
12 Jun 20260.74 NZD-2.0%0.80 NZD0.72 NZD-0.13-4.09121.2KOff
5 Jun 20260.76 NZD-2.6%0.80 NZD0.72 NZD-0.40-0.22289.9KOff
29 May 20260.78 NZD9.2%0.80 NZD0.72 NZD-0.602.114.0MOff
22 May 20260.71 NZD4.4%0.81 NZD0.72 NZD-0.87-4.383.0MOff
15 May 20260.68 NZD-4.2%0.81 NZD0.72 NZD-1.00-8.172.2MOff
8 May 20260.71 NZD-5.3%0.81 NZD0.72 NZD-1.01-5.592.8MOff
1 May 20260.75 NZD2.7%0.81 NZD0.72 NZD-1.120.872.0MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.