UNPC VIE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Union Pacific Corporation · Industrials · Railroads

Latest close 253.5 EUR
-6.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive trend

The weekly trend is active. Price is 13.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 80.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -6.5%, after a 1.9% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 54/100.

Setup score 70 out of 100
Latest Close 253.5 EUR 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -6.5% latest completed week
4W Return 1.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return 13.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 65.4% 34 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 2.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 34-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 7 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • The latest week was a sharp negative move.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 13.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 80.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -6.5%, after a 1.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 2.0x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9812-week average 0.94

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership4/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.98Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers77 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 7 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 1.9% over four weeks, 13.2% over 12 weeks, and 37.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 34 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-6.5%
4W1.9%
12W13.2%
26W31.4%
52W37.0%
Active trend streak34 weeks
Active weeks in one year34
Trend breadth65.4%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.63Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change23.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership1.57Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change170.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 13 relevant articles.

3 positive · 9 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-6.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher17 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.0%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-6.5%Week of 31 Jul.
Latest week-6.5%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains11
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses3
Recent vol3.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.8% / -2.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026253.5 EUR-6.5%223.6 EUR205.9 EUR1.631.57384On
24 Jul 2026271.0 EUR2.5%221.6 EUR205.5 EUR1.738.50134On
17 Jul 2026264.3 EUR4.8%219.1 EUR205.0 EUR1.807.39487On
10 Jul 2026252.3 EUR1.4%216.9 EUR204.5 EUR1.490.611.2KOn
3 Jul 2026248.8 EUR5.3%215.2 EUR204.0 EUR1.32-2.2425On
26 Jun 2026236.3 EUR5.6%213.6 EUR203.5 EUR1.08-5.15188On
19 Jun 2026223.8 EUR-5.1%212.2 EUR203.1 EUR0.59-12.120On
12 Jun 2026235.8 EUR0.8%211.2 EUR202.7 EUR0.60-3.860On
5 Jun 2026234.0 EUR4.8%209.6 EUR202.3 EUR0.46-2.130On
29 May 2026223.3 EUR-2.8%208.0 EUR201.9 EUR0.41-7.790On
22 May 2026229.8 EUR-0.5%206.8 EUR201.6 EUR0.57-2.8045On
15 May 2026231.0 EUR3.2%205.2 EUR201.2 EUR0.73-0.485On
8 May 2026223.9 EUR-0.7%203.9 EUR200.8 EUR0.61-4.185On
1 May 2026225.4 EUR-1.9%202.8 EUR200.4 EUR0.52-2.300On
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.