- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
NXST
NASDAQ
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Nexstar Broadcasting Group Inc · Communication Services · Broadcasting
Latest close
190.5 USD
3.9%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -4.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 37.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.9%, after a 5.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 59/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 5d.
Setup score
37
out of 100
Latest Close
190.5 USD
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
3.9%
latest completed week
4W Return
5.2%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-5.2%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
67.3%
35 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.8x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
3.9%
Latest completed week; four-week move 5.2%.
Indicator stack
37/47
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Options pressure
Volatility
59/100 conviction; expected move 9.9%.
News sentiment
52/100
62 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
5d
Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -4.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 37.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.9%, after a 5.2% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0412-week average 0.17
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.04Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 5.2% over four weeks, -5.2% over 12 weeks, and 7.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year35
Trend breadth67.3%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.41Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change50.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-12.06Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change41.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 97%
Model confidence 93%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength12/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 89; rank 1 is best.
Value32/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 69; rank 1 is best.
Quality31/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 70; rank 1 is best.
Momentum24/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 77; rank 1 is best.
Growth1/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 100; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework25/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 33.9x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.1x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 10.2x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 5.6% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 45.2% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 11.1% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 19.1% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 3.6% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -4.6% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- -74.8% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -32.4% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 4.1% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.9% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 5.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 6.9x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningVolatility
NXST shows volatility options pressure with a 59/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.03, expected move of 9.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction59/100
Expected move9.9%
Put/call volume0.03
Insider activity9 / 11
9 acquisitions and 11 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment52/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 62 relevant articles.
14 positive · 39 neutral · 9 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings5dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move9.9%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-24.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.4%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-15.4%Week of 3 Apr.
Latest week+3.9%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains6
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses6
Recent vol4.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.6% / -3.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Communication Services
4-week rank24 / 100
Group average-0.4%
Trend breadth42.0%
Trend42.0%active weekly trend signals
MD44.0%positive activity pressure
RS32.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Broadcasting
4-week rank1 / 16
Group average-13.4%
Trend breadth18.8%
Trend18.8%active weekly trend signals
MD43.8%positive activity pressure
RS6.2%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape35/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 35/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis9/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.04; No reversal markers Factors23/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 31; Small Cap Core rank 30 SVQF25/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 542.5 of 726 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options37/100NXST shows volatility options pressure with a 59/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.03, expected move of 9.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 9.9% Sentiment52/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 62 relevant articles.
Nexstar Media Group, Inc. (NXST) Stock Forecasts Insiders9 / 119 acquisitions and 11 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings5dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 190.5 USD | 3.9% | 199.8 USD | 166.6 USD | -0.41 | -12.06 | 1.4M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 183.3 USD | -0.2% | 200.3 USD | 166.4 USD | -0.47 | -15.16 | 1.4M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 183.7 USD | 5.6% | 200.9 USD | 166.3 USD | -0.52 | -16.62 | 1.7M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 174.1 USD | -3.9% | 201.4 USD | 166.1 USD | -0.70 | -24.54 | 1.6M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 181.1 USD | 10.4% | 202.3 USD | 166.0 USD | -0.82 | -20.42 | 3.0M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 164.0 USD | -0.1% | 202.4 USD | 165.8 USD | -1.03 | -27.58 | 3.1M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 164.2 USD | -5.9% | 203.3 USD | 165.7 USD | -1.11 | -31.07 | 2.0M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 174.5 USD | -4.1% | 204.0 USD | 165.6 USD | -1.11 | -25.19 | 1.8M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 182.0 USD | 2.0% | 204.2 USD | 165.4 USD | -1.01 | -20.47 | 1.6M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 178.4 USD | -5.4% | 204.3 USD | 165.2 USD | -0.90 | -25.77 | 1.4M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 188.7 USD | -3.4% | 204.7 USD | 164.9 USD | -0.86 | -19.60 | 1.5M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 195.4 USD | -2.7% | 204.6 USD | 164.6 USD | -0.82 | -16.03 | 2.0M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 200.9 USD | 0.2% | 204.2 USD | 164.2 USD | -0.85 | -14.20 | 1.9M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 200.5 USD | -0.7% | 203.8 USD | 163.9 USD | -0.86 | -9.88 | 1.1M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.