CIFR NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Cipher Mining Inc · Technology · Information Technology Services

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Latest close 22.32 USD
-3.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 18.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 69.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.6%, after a 11.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 52/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 3d.

Setup score 57 out of 100
Latest Close 22.32 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -3.6% latest completed week
4W Return 11.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return 8.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 78.8% 41 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 11-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -3.6% Latest completed week; four-week move 11.4%. Indicator stack 81/41 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 52/100 conviction; expected move 17.5%. News sentiment 50/100 66 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 3d Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 18.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 69.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.6%, after a 11.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7412-week average 0.66

12-week confirmation

Trend active11/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.74Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 11.4% over four weeks, 8.6% over 12 weeks, and 352.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 11 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-3.6%
4W11.4%
12W8.6%
26W39.8%
52W352.7%
Active trend streak11 weeks
Active weeks in one year41
Trend breadth78.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.04Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-104.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership23.77Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change70.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 82% Model confidence 78%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength20/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Value17/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Quality10/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 91; rank 1 is best.
Momentum99/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Growth79/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 22; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
51.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
6.0%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
-6.3%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-85.9%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
427.9%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-2.7%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
21.6%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
179.5%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
3/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.7%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-0.7%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-640.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

CIFR shows volatility options pressure with a 52/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.44, expected move of 17.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction52/100
Expected move17.5%
Put/call volume0.44
Pressure47
Speculation41
Volatility96
Trend agreement55
Open options detail
Insider activity10 / 10

10 acquisitions and 10 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 66 relevant articles.

15 positive · 41 neutral · 10 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings3dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move17.5%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-25.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility15.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+31.8%Week of 24 Jul.
Worst week-22.7%Week of 3 Jul.
Latest week-3.6%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains11
Modest gains1
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses10
Recent vol15.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol15.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew16.3% / -8.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape56/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 56/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis76/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 11/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 11/12.

Activity pressure 0.74; 2 reversal markers Factors33/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 76; Small Cap Core rank 91 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options51/100

CIFR shows volatility options pressure with a 52/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.44, expected move of 17.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 17.5% Sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 66 relevant articles.

Cipher Mining Inc. (NASDAQ:CIFR) Given Consensus Rating of "Moderate Buy" by Brokerages Insiders10 / 10

10 acquisitions and 10 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings3d

Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202622.32 USD-3.6%18.78 USD8.32 USD-0.0423.77152.3MOn
24 Jul 202623.15 USD31.8%18.58 USD8.19 USD-0.0731.34165.7MOn
17 Jul 202617.56 USD-20.6%18.31 USD8.07 USD0.14-0.30101.3MOn
10 Jul 202622.11 USD10.3%18.27 USD7.98 USD0.6421.59121.0MOn
3 Jul 202620.04 USD-22.7%18.10 USD7.87 USD0.8413.9494.5MOn
26 Jun 202625.94 USD-11.1%18.08 USD7.77 USD1.1550.78126.8MOn
19 Jun 202629.18 USD19.1%17.89 USD7.62 USD1.1065.76105.5MOn
12 Jun 202624.50 USD9.1%17.39 USD7.45 USD1.0246.72111.7MOn
5 Jun 202622.45 USD-5.1%17.05 USD7.32 USD1.0040.69143.1MOn
29 May 202623.65 USD7.6%16.99 USD7.19 USD1.0544.5396.3MOn
22 May 202621.97 USD8.1%16.83 USD7.05 USD0.7941.34109.9MOn
15 May 202620.33 USD-1.1%16.78 USD6.93 USD0.6135.24134.2MOff
8 May 202620.55 USD20.6%16.73 USD6.81 USD0.4238.93180.9MOff
1 May 202617.04 USD-6.4%16.61 USD6.69 USD0.0224.1593.1MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.