TG NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Tredegar Corporation · Industrials · Metal Fabrication

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Latest close 7.59 USD
-1.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -8.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 31.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.2%, after a -1.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bearish with 42/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 49/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 13d.

Setup score 27 out of 100
Latest Close 7.59 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -1.2% latest completed week
4W Return -1.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return -26.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 30.8% 16 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -1.2% Latest completed week; four-week move -1.9%. Indicator stack 17/20 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bearish 42/100 conviction; expected move 10.5%. News sentiment 49/100 45 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 13d Next report is scheduled for 14 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -8.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 31.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.2%, after a -1.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2912-week average 0.56

12-week confirmation

Trend active3/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.29Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers11 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 1 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -1.9% over four weeks, -26.7% over 12 weeks, and -9.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-1.2%
4W-1.9%
12W-26.7%
26W-11.2%
52W-9.6%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year16
Trend breadth30.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.13Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-125.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-13.31Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change2.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 93%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength72/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 29; rank 1 is best.
Value97/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Quality28/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 73; rank 1 is best.
Momentum20/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Growth84/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 17; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework83/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
9.2x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
5.1x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
19.1%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
14.5%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
5.2%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
8.0%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
11.7%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
35.2%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
37.8%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.7x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBearish

TG shows bearish options pressure with a 42/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 2.00, expected move of 10.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction42/100
Expected move10.5%
Put/call volume2.00
Pressure-23
Speculation3
Volatility96
Trend agreement84
Open options detail
Insider activity5 / 15

5 acquisitions and 15 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment49/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 45 relevant articles.

5 positive · 35 neutral · 5 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings13dNext report is scheduled for 14 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move10.5%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-27.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.7%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-23.0%Week of 15 May.
Latest week-1.2%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses8
Recent vol7.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.0% / -4.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape27/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 27/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis21/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 3/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.29; 1 reversal markers Factors54/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 67; Small Cap Core rank 11 SVQF83/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 171.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options53/100

TG shows bearish options pressure with a 42/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 2.00, expected move of 10.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bearish · Put-side pressure · Expected move 10.5% Sentiment49/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 45 relevant articles.

CFO Frasier W. Brickhouse II to retire from Tredegar (NYSE: TG) Insiders5 / 15

5 acquisitions and 15 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings13d

Next report is scheduled for 14 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20267.59 USD-1.2%8.32 USD6.99 USD-1.13-13.31710.7KOff
24 Jul 20267.68 USD2.1%8.31 USD6.98 USD-1.09-11.83731.1KOff
17 Jul 20267.52 USD1.8%8.30 USD6.98 USD-0.82-14.73581.2KOff
10 Jul 20267.39 USD-4.5%8.30 USD6.97 USD-0.66-18.02465.7KOff
3 Jul 20267.74 USD-7.3%8.31 USD6.97 USD-0.50-13.65585.1KOff
26 Jun 20268.35 USD7.3%8.30 USD6.96 USD-0.53-5.531.2MOff
19 Jun 20267.78 USD-5.0%8.28 USD6.95 USD-0.77-14.51858.9KOff
12 Jun 20268.19 USD6.2%8.29 USD6.94 USD-0.71-9.75913.9KOff
5 Jun 20267.71 USD-1.3%8.30 USD6.93 USD-0.58-15.03725.1KOff
29 May 20267.81 USD-0.1%8.27 USD6.92 USD-0.03-16.61693.9KOn
22 May 20267.82 USD-1.9%8.24 USD6.92 USD0.46-15.821.1MOn
15 May 20267.97 USD-23.0%8.23 USD6.92 USD0.60-13.971.4MOn
8 May 202610.35 USD3.5%8.20 USD6.91 USD0.7411.40920.2KOn
1 May 202610.00 USD6.2%8.11 USD6.90 USD0.5410.011.1MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.