MSTR NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

MicroStrategy Incorporated · Technology · Software - Application

Open interactive chart View report data
Latest close 93.28 USD
1.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -31.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 3.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.8%, after a -7.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 36/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 51/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 14 out of 100
Latest Close 93.28 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 1.8% latest completed week
4W Return -7.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return -50.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 7.7% 4 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 1.8% Latest completed week; four-week move -7.4%. Indicator stack 4/0 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Recent Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bullish 36/100 conviction; expected move 8.2%. News sentiment 51/100 36 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 30 Jul Latest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -31.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 3.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.8%, after a -7.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0412-week average 0.11

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.04Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -7.4% over four weeks, -50.3% over 12 weeks, and -74.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.8%
4W-7.4%
12W-50.3%
26W-37.7%
52W-74.6%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year4
Trend breadth7.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.74Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-15753.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-56.46Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change6.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 82% Model confidence 78%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength63/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 38; rank 1 is best.
Value71/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 30; rank 1 is best.
Quality77/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 24; rank 1 is best.
Momentum2/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 99; rank 1 is best.
Growth35/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
68.3x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
34.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
68.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-2854.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
3388.5%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-20.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
6.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-40.7%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
3/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.6%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-74.5%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-72.9%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.4x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

MSTR shows bullish options pressure with a 36/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.56, expected move of 8.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction36/100
Expected move8.2%
Put/call volume0.56
Pressure28
Speculation46
Volatility85
Trend agreement24
Open options detail
Insider activity7 / 13

7 acquisitions and 13 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 36 relevant articles.

8 positive · 20 neutral · 8 negative
Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings30 JulLatest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
Options expected move8.2%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-77.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility12.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+29.4%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-26.9%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week+1.8%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses9
Recent vol12.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol9.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split19/33Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.6% / -7.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape15/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 15/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis23/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.04; No reversal markers Factors54/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 99 Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Options47/100

MSTR shows bullish options pressure with a 36/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.56, expected move of 8.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 8.2% Sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 36 relevant articles.

MSTR Stock: At Least Earnings Didn’t Make It Worse for the Former MicroStrategy Insiders7 / 13

7 acquisitions and 13 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings30 Jul

Latest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.

 Research flow3 items

0 recent research articles and 3 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202693.28 USD1.8%135.7 USD197.1 USD-0.74-56.4679.4MOff
24 Jul 202691.67 USD-3.4%137.8 USD196.8 USD-0.56-58.3479.7MOff
17 Jul 202694.85 USD0.2%140.0 USD196.5 USD-0.36-59.0269.7MOff
10 Jul 202694.64 USD-6.1%142.4 USD196.2 USD-0.20-62.1793.7MOff
3 Jul 2026100.8 USD22.4%145.1 USD195.8 USD0.00-60.43150.1MOff
26 Jun 202682.31 USD-26.9%147.7 USD195.4 USD0.22-68.40178.9MOff
19 Jun 2026112.5 USD-9.2%150.9 USD195.1 USD0.44-59.9791.4MOff
12 Jun 2026124.0 USD2.9%152.8 USD194.6 USD0.71-55.9594.1MOff
5 Jun 2026120.4 USD-24.3%155.3 USD194.0 USD0.96-57.39136.6MOff
29 May 2026159.1 USD-0.5%159.4 USD193.4 USD1.12-47.6159.2MOff
22 May 2026159.9 USD-9.9%163.0 USD192.6 USD1.21-47.0562.3MOff
15 May 2026177.4 USD-5.4%167.3 USD191.8 USD1.32-41.8778.8MOff
8 May 2026187.6 USD5.9%171.1 USD190.8 USD1.35-40.1380.0MOff
1 May 2026177.2 USD3.6%175.0 USD189.8 USD1.05-41.8576.4MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.