MGA TOR Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Mega Uranium Ltd. · Energy · Uranium

Latest close 0.52 CAD
-1.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -16.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 48.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.9%, after a -7.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 52/100.

Setup score 31 out of 100
Latest Close 0.52 CAD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -1.9% latest completed week
4W Return -7.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return -29.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 82.7% 43 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 2.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 36.33% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -16.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 48.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.9%, after a -7.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 2.0x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3612-week average 0.58

12-week confirmation

Trend active6/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership8/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.36Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -7.1% over four weeks, -29.7% over 12 weeks, and 92.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-1.9%
4W-7.1%
12W-29.7%
26W-25.7%
52W92.6%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year43
Trend breadth82.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.20Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-5.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-8.61Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-1972.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 67% Model confidence 64%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength47/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 54; rank 1 is best.
Value48/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 53; rank 1 is best.
Quality50/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 51; rank 1 is best.
Momentum50/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 51; rank 1 is best.
Growth51/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 50; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
24.4x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
-
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
82.1x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-0.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
-
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-1.0%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.9%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-0.9%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
7.3x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 19 relevant articles.

3 positive · 16 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-35.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+22.0%Week of 20 Feb.
Worst week-15.7%Week of 6 Feb.
Latest week-1.9%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains3
Flat weeks2
Modest losses5
Sharp losses9
Recent vol7.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew9.3% / -6.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20260.52 CAD-1.9%0.62 CAD0.40 CAD-1.20-8.614.3MOff
24 Jul 20260.53 CAD3.9%0.62 CAD0.40 CAD-1.25-6.702.1MOff
17 Jul 20260.51 CAD-7.3%0.62 CAD0.40 CAD-1.25-9.551.5MOff
10 Jul 20260.55 CAD-1.8%0.62 CAD0.40 CAD-1.15-2.162.2MOff
3 Jul 20260.56 CAD1.8%0.62 CAD0.39 CAD-1.140.461.1MOff
26 Jun 20260.55 CAD-12.7%0.62 CAD0.39 CAD-1.190.09142.8KOff
19 Jun 20260.63 CAD3.3%0.61 CAD0.39 CAD-1.0815.48455.2KOn
12 Jun 20260.61 CAD5.2%0.60 CAD0.39 CAD-1.0513.01469.6KOn
5 Jun 20260.58 CAD-14.7%0.59 CAD0.38 CAD-0.7410.032.1MOn
29 May 20260.68 CAD9.7%0.59 CAD0.38 CAD-0.4328.571.7MOn
22 May 20260.62 CAD-10.1%0.58 CAD0.38 CAD-0.3319.582.5MOn
15 May 20260.69 CAD-6.8%0.57 CAD0.37 CAD-0.1936.845.2MOn
8 May 20260.74 CAD4.2%0.56 CAD0.37 CAD-0.1447.684.3MOn
1 May 20260.71 CAD-1.4%0.55 CAD0.37 CAD-0.3244.493.6MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.