NXE TOR Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

NexGen Energy Ltd. · Energy · Uranium

Latest close 12.82 CAD
-0.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -16.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 40.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.5%, after a -7.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100.

Setup score 39 out of 100
Latest Close 12.82 CAD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -0.5% latest completed week
4W Return -7.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return -22.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 84.6% 44 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 2.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 55.47% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -16.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 40.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.5%, after a -7.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 2.4x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1812-week average 0.43

12-week confirmation

Trend active4/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership4/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.18Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -7.9% over four weeks, -22.8% over 12 weeks, and 43.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.5%
4W-7.9%
12W-22.8%
26W-25.0%
52W43.6%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year44
Trend breadth84.6%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.34Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change9.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-15.19Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-99.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 64% Model confidence 61%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength44/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 57; rank 1 is best.
Value47/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 54; rank 1 is best.
Quality48/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 53; rank 1 is best.
Momentum48/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 53; rank 1 is best.
Growth49/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 52; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
-
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-3.4%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
-
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-4.2%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
2/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 55 relevant articles.

11 positive · 41 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-32.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.9%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-12.0%Week of 6 Feb.
Latest week-0.5%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses9
Recent vol5.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.2% / -4.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202612.82 CAD-0.5%15.43 CAD10.70 CAD-1.34-15.1915.0MOff
24 Jul 202612.89 CAD4.4%15.47 CAD10.65 CAD-1.41-14.947.1MOff
17 Jul 202612.35 CAD-9.9%15.47 CAD10.61 CAD-1.44-18.265.8MOff
10 Jul 202613.70 CAD-1.6%15.48 CAD10.57 CAD-1.43-9.436.2MOff
3 Jul 202613.92 CAD0.9%15.44 CAD10.52 CAD-1.48-7.604.0MOff
26 Jun 202613.79 CAD-7.6%15.41 CAD10.47 CAD-1.55-7.551.1MOff
19 Jun 202614.92 CAD8.4%15.36 CAD10.42 CAD-1.420.271.1MOff
12 Jun 202613.76 CAD-4.1%15.22 CAD10.37 CAD-1.41-7.091.1MOff
5 Jun 202614.35 CAD-9.8%15.14 CAD10.32 CAD-1.12-1.392.9MOn
29 May 202615.91 CAD7.9%15.06 CAD10.26 CAD-0.858.648.2MOn
22 May 202614.75 CAD-4.8%14.98 CAD10.20 CAD-0.762.226.3MOn
15 May 202615.49 CAD-6.7%14.90 CAD10.14 CAD-0.559.8512.9MOn
8 May 202616.61 CAD-1.2%14.78 CAD10.07 CAD-0.5217.8510.9MOn
1 May 202616.81 CAD-0.8%14.63 CAD10.00 CAD-0.6120.898.7MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.