EPSN NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Epsilon Energy Ltd · Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

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Latest close 5.60 USD
-3.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 2.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 60.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.9%, after a 3.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is mixed with 36/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 56/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 11d.

Setup score 46 out of 100
Latest Close 5.60 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -3.9% latest completed week
4W Return 3.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return -2.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 34.6% 18 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 2-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -3.9% Latest completed week; four-week move 3.7%. Indicator stack 26/39 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Mixed 36/100 conviction; expected move 24.5%. News sentiment 56/100 63 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 11d Next report is scheduled for 12 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 2.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 60.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.9%, after a 3.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3512-week average 0.65

12-week confirmation

Trend active10/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.35Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 3.7% over four weeks, -2.6% over 12 weeks, and -3.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 2 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-3.9%
4W3.7%
12W-2.6%
26W14.8%
52W-3.8%
Active trend streak2 weeks
Active weeks in one year18
Trend breadth34.6%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.66Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change14.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-2.19Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change81.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 90%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength46/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 55; rank 1 is best.
Value71/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 30; rank 1 is best.
Quality24/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 77; rank 1 is best.
Momentum24/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 77; rank 1 is best.
Growth87/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 14; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.9x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
54.1x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
20.0%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
49.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-14.0%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
55.3%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-5.5%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
53.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-24.4%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
3/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
4.3%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
4.3%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-2.4x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

EPSN shows mixed options pressure with a 36/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 24.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction36/100
Expected move24.5%
Put/call volume
Pressure11
Speculation0
Volatility96
Trend agreement82
Open options detail
Insider activity8 / 0

8 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 63 relevant articles.

20 positive · 39 neutral · 4 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings11dNext report is scheduled for 12 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move24.5%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-14.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+11.3%Week of 6 Mar.
Worst week-8.6%Week of 29 May.
Latest week-3.9%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses4
Recent vol4.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.2% / -4.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape43/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 43/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis44/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 10/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 1/12.

Activity pressure 0.35; No reversal markers Factors40/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 56; Small Cap Core rank 65 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options55/100

EPSN shows mixed options pressure with a 36/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 24.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 24.5% Sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 63 relevant articles.

Epsilon Energy Q2 Results: Earnings Release Scheduled for August 12 Insiders8 / 0

8 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings11d

Next report is scheduled for 12 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20265.60 USD-3.9%5.47 USD5.31 USD-0.66-2.19703.0KOn
24 Jul 20265.83 USD5.6%5.43 USD5.31 USD-0.761.82675.8KOn
17 Jul 20265.52 USD5.7%5.39 USD5.31 USD-0.80-5.56717.1KOff
10 Jul 20265.22 USD-3.3%5.36 USD5.31 USD-0.82-15.06769.6KOff
3 Jul 20265.40 USD-0.4%5.34 USD5.30 USD-0.77-11.56736.0KOn
26 Jun 20265.42 USD2.3%5.32 USD5.30 USD-0.66-11.531.3MOn
19 Jun 20265.30 USD-4.6%5.30 USD5.29 USD-0.64-18.35885.1KOn
12 Jun 20265.55 USD-2.9%5.27 USD5.29 USD-0.23-13.66639.6KOn
5 Jun 20265.72 USD2.3%5.24 USD5.28 USD0.16-10.36582.4KOn
29 May 20265.59 USD-8.6%5.20 USD5.27 USD0.39-17.23634.0KOn
22 May 20266.12 USD0.2%5.17 USD5.27 USD0.84-7.901.3MOn
15 May 20266.11 USD6.2%5.12 USD5.25 USD0.98-7.86852.6KOn
8 May 20265.75 USD-7.8%5.07 USD5.24 USD1.14-14.23929.6KOn
1 May 20266.24 USD4.1%5.03 USD5.24 USD1.43-2.90713.1KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.