AMPL NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Amplitude Inc · Technology · Software - Application

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Latest close 8.88 USD
9.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 15.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 37.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 9.6%, after a 0.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 43/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 3d.

Setup score 36 out of 100
Latest Close 8.88 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 9.6% latest completed week
4W Return 0.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return 39.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 13.5% 7 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 9.6% Latest completed week; four-week move 0.5%. Indicator stack 7/73 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bullish 43/100 conviction; expected move 20.7%. News sentiment 53/100 56 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 3d Next report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 15.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 37.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 9.6%, after a 0.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3012-week average 0.15

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.30Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 0.5% over four weeks, 39.0% over 12 weeks, and -23.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W9.6%
4W0.5%
12W39.0%
26W-3.2%
52W-23.1%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year7
Trend breadth13.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.03Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change52.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-11.12Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change40.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 85% Model confidence 81%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength3/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 98; rank 1 is best.
Value18/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
Quality16/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 85; rank 1 is best.
Momentum9/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 92; rank 1 is best.
Growth77/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 24; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
3.0x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
3.0%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
73.6%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-24.1%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
8.5%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-45.8%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
16.4%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
74.2%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
4.4%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
4.4%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

AMPL shows bullish options pressure with a 43/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.39, expected move of 20.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction43/100
Expected move20.7%
Put/call volume0.39
Pressure53
Speculation33
Volatility96
Trend agreement15
Open options detail
Insider activity11 / 9

11 acquisitions and 9 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 56 relevant articles.

14 positive · 37 neutral · 5 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings3dNext report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move20.7%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-38.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility11.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+24.4%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-21.2%Week of 6 Feb.
Latest week+9.6%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains11
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses1
Sharp losses11
Recent vol11.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol9.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.7% / -7.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape30/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 30/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis35/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.30; No reversal markers Factors10/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 13; Small Cap Core rank 77 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options48/100

AMPL shows bullish options pressure with a 43/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.39, expected move of 20.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 20.7% Sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 56 relevant articles.

Amplitude, Inc. (AMPL) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Can the Stock Move Higher? Insiders11 / 9

11 acquisitions and 9 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings3d

Next report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20268.88 USD9.6%7.71 USD10.16 USD1.03-11.128.3MOff
24 Jul 20268.10 USD-15.6%7.77 USD10.18 USD1.14-19.3410.4MOff
17 Jul 20269.60 USD4.6%7.90 USD10.20 USD1.09-7.237.5MOff
10 Jul 20269.18 USD3.8%7.96 USD10.21 USD0.84-15.9211.4MOff
3 Jul 20268.84 USD19.3%8.03 USD10.22 USD0.68-18.5316.0MOff
26 Jun 20267.41 USD13.5%8.11 USD10.24 USD0.59-32.0310.6MOff
19 Jun 20266.53 USD-5.2%8.21 USD10.26 USD0.66-43.648.9MOff
12 Jun 20266.89 USD-10.1%8.32 USD10.29 USD0.76-39.9312.8MOff
5 Jun 20267.66 USD-2.0%8.45 USD10.31 USD0.70-32.6616.4MOff
29 May 20267.82 USD16.7%8.53 USD10.33 USD0.55-35.3713.2MOff
22 May 20266.70 USD10.6%8.60 USD10.34 USD0.34-43.9012.7MOff
15 May 20266.06 USD-5.2%8.72 USD10.36 USD0.11-49.4914.9MOff
8 May 20266.39 USD-18.0%8.84 USD10.38 USD-0.09-47.7918.8MOff
1 May 20267.79 USD10.3%8.96 USD10.40 USD-0.49-33.815.8MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.