MCHP MEX Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Microchip Technology Incorporated · Technology · Semiconductors

Latest close 1,289 MXN
-7.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is -8.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 45.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -7.1%, after a -16.3% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 32 out of 100
Latest Close 1,289 MXN 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -7.1% latest completed week
4W Return -16.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return -23.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 63.5% 33 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 15-week active streak.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 27.66% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is -8.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 45.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -7.1%, after a -16.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.0x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8212-week average 0.78

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.82Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -16.3% over four weeks, -23.5% over 12 weeks, and 3.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 15 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-7.1%
4W-16.3%
12W-23.5%
26W-7.1%
52W3.2%
Active trend streak15 weeks
Active weeks in one year33
Trend breadth63.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.52Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-179.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-3.82Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-127.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 23 relevant articles.

7 positive · 15 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-26.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+12.5%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-14.4%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week-7.1%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains5
Flat weeks5
Modest losses3
Sharp losses7
Recent vol4.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split21/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.0% / -5.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20261,289 MXN-7.1%1,411 MXN1,353 MXN-0.52-3.825On
24 Jul 20261,388 MXN-10.4%1,406 MXN1,355 MXN-0.124.17731On
17 Jul 20261,550 MXN0.0%1,399 MXN1,356 MXN0.2415.760On
10 Jul 20261,550 MXN0.7%1,386 MXN1,356 MXN0.4915.8416On
3 Jul 20261,540 MXN0.0%1,374 MXN1,355 MXN0.6513.990On
26 Jun 20261,540 MXN-6.5%1,363 MXN1,355 MXN0.7513.7451On
19 Jun 20261,646 MXN2.9%1,344 MXN1,355 MXN0.8620.680On
12 Jun 20261,600 MXN1.8%1,321 MXN1,354 MXN0.8616.960On
5 Jun 20261,572 MXN-5.6%1,301 MXN1,354 MXN0.8918.14912On
29 May 20261,666 MXN4.1%1,286 MXN1,353 MXN1.0520.89430On
22 May 20261,600 MXN-3.5%1,271 MXN1,352 MXN1.1117.18660On
15 May 20261,658 MXN-1.5%1,259 MXN1,352 MXN1.0222.67136On
8 May 20261,684 MXN6.4%1,244 MXN1,351 MXN0.7321.646.2KOn
1 May 20261,582 MXN3.4%1,228 MXN1,350 MXN0.2918.287.5KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.