FPH NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Five Point Holdings LLC · Real Estate · Real Estate - Development

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Latest close 5.19 USD
-0.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 28.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.8%, after a -0.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is mixed with 26/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 87d.

Setup score 39 out of 100
Latest Close 5.19 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -0.8% latest completed week
4W Return -0.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return 4.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 32.7% 17 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -0.8% Latest completed week; four-week move -0.6%. Indicator stack 18/60 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Mixed 26/100 conviction; expected move 18.4%. News sentiment 53/100 47 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 87d Next report is scheduled for 28 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 28.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.8%, after a -0.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3112-week average 0.14

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.31Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -0.6% over four weeks, 4.8% over 12 weeks, and -2.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.8%
4W-0.6%
12W4.8%
26W-2.3%
52W-2.3%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year17
Trend breadth32.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.61Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-15.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-13.13Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change7.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 97%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength55/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 46; rank 1 is best.
Value77/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 24; rank 1 is best.
Quality26/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 75; rank 1 is best.
Momentum25/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
Growth4/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 97; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework26/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
7.1x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
3.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
19.6x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
3.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
38.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
82.9%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
60.5%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
8.8%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-40.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-31.9%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-53.4%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.9x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

FPH shows mixed options pressure with a 26/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 18.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction26/100
Expected move18.4%
Put/call volume
Pressure9
Speculation0
Volatility94
Trend agreement50
Open options detail
Insider activity0 / 1

0 acquisitions and 1 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 47 relevant articles.

10 positive · 33 neutral · 4 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings87dNext report is scheduled for 28 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move18.4%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-21.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+6.6%Week of 26 Jun.
Worst week-5.9%Week of 13 Mar.
Latest week-0.8%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses4
Recent vol3.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.1% / -2.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape35/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 35/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis28/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.31; No reversal markers Factors45/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 64; Small Cap Core rank 32 SVQF26/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 747.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options43/100

FPH shows mixed options pressure with a 26/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 18.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 18.4% Sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 47 relevant articles.

Five Point Holdings faces sales pressure amid rising capital costs and inflation concerns Insiders0 / 1

0 acquisitions and 1 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings87d

Next report is scheduled for 28 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20265.19 USD-0.8%5.20 USD4.38 USD0.61-13.13926.1KOff
24 Jul 20265.23 USD-0.2%5.21 USD4.37 USD0.58-11.85705.0KOff
17 Jul 20265.24 USD2.7%5.22 USD4.36 USD0.77-12.54622.7KOff
10 Jul 20265.10 USD-2.3%5.23 USD4.35 USD0.72-16.71494.7KOff
3 Jul 20265.22 USD-4.4%5.25 USD4.33 USD0.73-14.19548.6KOff
26 Jun 20265.46 USD6.6%5.27 USD4.32 USD0.71-8.801.0MOff
19 Jun 20265.12 USD-0.8%5.29 USD4.30 USD0.31-16.83462.0KOff
12 Jun 20265.16 USD1.0%5.33 USD4.28 USD0.05-15.89682.3KOff
5 Jun 20265.11 USD1.6%5.36 USD4.27 USD-0.22-16.681.1MOff
29 May 20265.03 USD2.7%5.39 USD4.25 USD-0.54-20.49678.6KOff
22 May 20264.90 USD4.0%5.42 USD4.23 USD-0.59-21.91903.2KOff
15 May 20264.71 USD-4.8%5.46 USD4.22 USD-0.62-24.771.2MOff
8 May 20264.95 USD-1.6%5.50 USD4.20 USD-0.75-21.31713.5KOff
1 May 20265.03 USD-1.6%5.52 USD4.18 USD-0.80-18.691.1MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.