RITM NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Rithm Capital Corp. · Real Estate · Reit - Mortgage

Latest close 9.88 USD
8.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 2.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 45.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 8.3%, after a 8.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 33/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 56/100.

Setup score 50 out of 100
Latest Close 9.88 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 8.3% latest completed week
4W Return 8.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return 3.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 19.2% 10 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 2.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 45.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 8.3%, after a 8.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.7x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2412-week average 0.13

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.24Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 8.7% over four weeks, 3.2% over 12 weeks, and -12.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W8.3%
4W8.7%
12W3.2%
26W-7.3%
52W-12.0%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year10
Trend breadth19.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.42Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change1325.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-11.21Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change44.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 90%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength9/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 92; rank 1 is best.
Value35/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
Quality17/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Momentum16/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 85; rank 1 is best.
Growth30/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 71; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework30/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
7.0x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.9x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
23.9x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-5.4%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
86.2%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
31.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-43.7%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
3.1%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
6.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
2.4%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-460.4%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
3/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
11.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-11.4%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-0.5%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
19.9x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

RITM shows bullish options pressure with a 33/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.19, expected move of 4.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction33/100
Expected move4.3%
Put/call volume0.19
Pressure68
Speculation4
Volatility38
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity7 / 2

7 acquisitions and 2 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 64 relevant articles.

21 positive · 39 neutral · 4 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings28 JulLatest stored earnings date was 28 Jul 2026.
Options expected move4.3%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-16.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.3%Week of 31 Jul.
Worst week-7.2%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+8.3%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses11
Sharp losses3
Recent vol3.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.2% / -2.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20269.88 USD8.3%9.67 USD9.61 USD0.42-11.2143.5MOff
24 Jul 20269.12 USD-2.1%9.69 USD9.60 USD0.06-17.6728.2MOff
17 Jul 20269.32 USD1.5%9.74 USD9.59 USD0.12-16.9729.0MOff
10 Jul 20269.18 USD1.0%9.79 USD9.58 USD0.06-20.0326.6MOff
3 Jul 20269.09 USD-0.4%9.84 USD9.56 USD0.03-20.2824.3MOff
26 Jun 20269.13 USD2.1%9.89 USD9.55 USD-0.05-18.7726.4MOff
19 Jun 20268.94 USD-1.3%9.95 USD9.54 USD-0.17-22.7424.0MOff
12 Jun 20269.06 USD2.0%10.01 USD9.53 USD-0.25-21.5320.7MOff
5 Jun 20268.89 USD-2.0%10.06 USD9.51 USD-0.39-23.1125.6MOff
29 May 20269.07 USD0.6%10.11 USD9.50 USD-0.39-23.9818.1MOff
22 May 20269.01 USD1.4%10.16 USD9.48 USD-0.44-23.8824.7MOff
15 May 20268.89 USD-7.2%10.20 USD9.46 USD-0.43-24.8029.3MOff
8 May 20269.58 USD0.5%10.25 USD9.45 USD-0.40-19.3720.6MOff
1 May 20269.53 USD-5.9%10.27 USD9.42 USD-0.49-18.4235.0MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.