AOMR NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Angel Oak Mortgage Inc · Real Estate · Reit - Mortgage

Latest close 8.85 USD
0.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 76.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.6%, after a 4.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 3d.

Setup score 51 out of 100
Latest Close 8.85 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 0.6% latest completed week
4W Return 4.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return 4.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 42.3% 22 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 4-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • No major top-level risk cluster is currently dominant.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 76.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.6%, after a 4.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.5x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4912-week average 0.37

12-week confirmation

Trend active7/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.49Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 4.4% over four weeks, 4.3% over 12 weeks, and 11.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 4 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.6%
4W4.4%
12W4.3%
26W6.3%
52W11.3%
Active trend streak4 weeks
Active weeks in one year22
Trend breadth42.3%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.63Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change108.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-2.36Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change66.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 93%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength9/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 92; rank 1 is best.
Value27/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 74; rank 1 is best.
Quality14/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 87; rank 1 is best.
Momentum31/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 70; rank 1 is best.
Growth91/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
13.6x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
53.2x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-13.4%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
45.9%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
29.1%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-224.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
1.7%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
94.2%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-55.7%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
14.5%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-5.6%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
9.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
48.7x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity7 / 1

7 acquisitions and 1 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 38 relevant articles.

7 positive · 29 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings3dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-4.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.9%Week of 17 Jul.
Worst week-5.8%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+0.6%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses4
Recent vol3.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.7% / -2.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20268.85 USD0.6%8.34 USD8.00 USD0.63-2.36310.3KOn
24 Jul 20268.80 USD-3.6%8.31 USD7.98 USD0.61-2.01469.6KOn
17 Jul 20269.13 USD7.9%8.29 USD7.97 USD0.700.85615.9KOn
10 Jul 20268.46 USD-0.2%8.25 USD7.95 USD0.40-8.10383.7KOn
3 Jul 20268.48 USD-0.1%8.25 USD7.93 USD0.30-6.98533.5KOff
26 Jun 20268.49 USD7.1%8.24 USD7.91 USD0.31-5.181.4MOff
19 Jun 20267.93 USD0.1%8.23 USD7.89 USD0.11-13.80874.3KOff
12 Jun 20267.92 USD-4.3%8.22 USD7.88 USD0.13-13.47749.9KOff
5 Jun 20268.27 USD0.5%8.22 USD7.86 USD0.21-9.47785.1KOff
29 May 20268.23 USD1.2%8.22 USD7.84 USD0.22-12.46507.6KOn
22 May 20268.13 USD1.7%8.21 USD7.82 USD0.40-12.63724.1KOn
15 May 20268.00 USD-5.8%8.22 USD7.80 USD0.50-13.73722.7KOn
8 May 20268.49 USD-4.4%8.22 USD7.78 USD0.63-8.73415.5KOn
1 May 20268.88 USD1.4%8.21 USD7.76 USD0.44-2.77246.8KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.