NREF NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Nexpoint Real Estate Finance Inc · Real Estate · Reit - Mortgage

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Latest close 16.79 USD
-0.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 17.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 92.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.7%, after a 9.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is mixed with 33/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 56/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 0d.

Setup score 70 out of 100
Latest Close 16.79 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -0.7% latest completed week
4W Return 9.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return 16.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 67.3% 35 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 15-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -0.7% Latest completed week; four-week move 9.2%. Indicator stack 82/73 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Mixed 33/100 conviction; expected move 9.9%. News sentiment 56/100 68 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 0d Next report is scheduled for 30 Jul 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 17.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 92.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.7%, after a 9.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9612-week average 0.71

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.96Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 9.2% over four weeks, 16.8% over 12 weeks, and 32.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 15 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.7%
4W9.2%
12W16.8%
26W23.2%
52W32.9%
Active trend streak15 weeks
Active weeks in one year35
Trend breadth67.3%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.27Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change3.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership14.24Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change102.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength33/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 68; rank 1 is best.
Value31/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 70; rank 1 is best.
Quality31/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 70; rank 1 is best.
Momentum76/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 25; rank 1 is best.
Growth97/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
3.1x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
33.2x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
0.3%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
80.8%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
102.0%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
11.0%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
2.4%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
11.0%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
62.5%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-41.1%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
11.9%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
11.9%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
28.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

NREF shows mixed options pressure with a 33/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 9.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction33/100
Expected move9.9%
Put/call volume
Pressure7
Speculation0
Volatility67
Trend agreement90
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 68 relevant articles.

21 positive · 46 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings0dNext report is scheduled for 30 Jul 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move9.9%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-2.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher17 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.6%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-6.8%Week of 13 Mar.
Latest week-0.7%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains14
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses2
Recent vol3.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split33/19Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.5% / -2.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape69/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 69/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis81/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 11/12.

Activity pressure 0.96; 4 reversal markers Factors40/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 66; Small Cap Core rank 28 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options57/100

NREF shows mixed options pressure with a 33/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 9.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 9.9% Sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 68 relevant articles.

NexPoint Real Estate Finance stock trades on fundamentals as recent earnings and portfolio metrics frame valuation Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings0d

Next report is scheduled for 30 Jul 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202616.79 USD-0.7%14.29 USD12.23 USD1.2714.24283.4KOn
17 Jul 202616.91 USD4.4%14.17 USD12.19 USD1.2714.68229.9KOn
10 Jul 202616.19 USD2.9%14.05 USD12.15 USD1.228.44261.2KOn
3 Jul 202615.73 USD2.3%13.96 USD12.11 USD1.246.99348.8KOn
26 Jun 202615.38 USD3.4%13.88 USD12.08 USD1.237.02378.5KOn
19 Jun 202614.87 USD-3.2%13.80 USD12.05 USD1.091.10386.9KOn
12 Jun 202615.35 USD-0.4%13.73 USD12.02 USD1.005.37544.0KOn
5 Jun 202615.41 USD2.0%13.64 USD11.98 USD0.846.31329.9KOn
29 May 202615.10 USD2.4%13.52 USD11.94 USD0.751.49140.6KOn
22 May 202614.74 USD1.2%13.41 USD11.90 USD0.640.39248.0KOn
15 May 202614.57 USD-5.8%13.33 USD11.86 USD0.35-0.14293.4KOn
8 May 202615.47 USD7.6%13.25 USD11.83 USD0.066.03257.8KOn
1 May 202614.38 USD5.0%13.13 USD11.78 USD-0.280.79204.5KOn
24 Apr 202613.69 USD0.6%13.08 USD11.74 USD-0.50-3.30157.4KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.