KREF NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc · Real Estate · Reit - Mortgage

Latest close 7.34 USD
0.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 7.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 54.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.7%, after a 3.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 57/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 48/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 84d.

Setup score 47 out of 100
Latest Close 7.34 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 0.7% latest completed week
4W Return 3.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return 17.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 0.0% 0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 7.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 54.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.7%, after a 3.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.9x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3712-week average 0.14

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.37Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 3.9% over four weeks, 17.3% over 12 weeks, and -12.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.7%
4W3.9%
12W17.3%
26W-6.3%
52W-12.3%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.10Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change28.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-8.84Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change33.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 94%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength9/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 92; rank 1 is best.
Value30/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 71; rank 1 is best.
Quality22/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 79; rank 1 is best.
Momentum19/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 82; rank 1 is best.
Growth12/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 89; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
103.1x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
1.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
87.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
12.2%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
20.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
0.6%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-32.3%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-32.2%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
3/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
11.6%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
11.1%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
22.7%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
91.6x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

KREF shows volatility options pressure with a 57/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 26.00, expected move of 7.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction57/100
Expected move7.0%
Put/call volume26.00
Pressure-100
Speculation1
Volatility84
Trend agreement26
Open options detail
Insider activity7 / 0

7 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment48/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 77 relevant articles.

11 positive · 48 neutral · 18 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings84dNext report is scheduled for 21 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move7.0%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-19.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+6.1%Week of 3 Apr.
Worst week-11.6%Week of 6 Feb.
Latest week+0.7%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses6
Recent vol2.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.6% / -4.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 20267.34 USD0.7%6.86 USD8.34 USD1.10-8.8410.9MOff
17 Jul 20267.29 USD-1.0%6.88 USD8.35 USD1.02-10.534.4MOff
10 Jul 20267.36 USD4.7%6.90 USD8.36 USD0.94-11.554.0MOff
3 Jul 20267.03 USD-0.5%6.93 USD8.38 USD0.90-14.934.6MOff
26 Jun 20267.07 USD1.6%6.96 USD8.39 USD0.86-13.206.3MOff
19 Jun 20266.96 USD-2.4%6.99 USD8.40 USD0.74-17.053.4MOff
12 Jun 20267.13 USD4.5%7.02 USD8.41 USD0.63-14.925.4MOff
5 Jun 20266.82 USD3.7%7.04 USD8.42 USD0.43-18.685.5MOff
29 May 20266.57 USD2.9%7.06 USD8.43 USD0.21-24.155.2MOff
22 May 20266.39 USD2.4%7.09 USD8.44 USD0.03-25.844.6MOff
15 May 20266.24 USD-4.2%7.15 USD8.45 USD-0.21-27.565.3MOff
8 May 20266.51 USD4.1%7.21 USD8.46 USD-0.36-24.925.3MOff
1 May 20266.26 USD4.1%7.25 USD8.46 USD-0.60-26.8510.8MOff
24 Apr 20266.01 USD-10.2%7.33 USD8.47 USD-0.84-29.7610.7MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.