- No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
ACRE
NYSE
Week ended 24 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Ares Commercial Real Estate · Real Estate · Reit - Mortgage
Latest close
4.55 USD
-1.5%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -5.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 42.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.5%, after a 4.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 59/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 5d.
Setup score
38
out of 100
Latest Close
4.55 USD
24 Jul 2026
1W Return
-1.5%
latest completed week
4W Return
4.2%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-11.1%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
73.1%
38 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.8x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-1.5%
Latest completed week; four-week move 4.2%.
Indicator stack
40/27
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Options pressure
Volatility
59/100 conviction; expected move 11.5%.
News sentiment
50/100
66 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
5d
Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -5.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 42.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.5%, after a 4.2% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.2012-week average 0.42
12-week confirmation
Trend active2/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.20Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 4.2% over four weeks, -11.1% over 12 weeks, and 7.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year38
Trend breadth73.1%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.06Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-46.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-9.49Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change25.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025
Field coverage 91%
Model confidence 87%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength7/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 94; rank 1 is best.
Value21/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 80; rank 1 is best.
Quality13/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 88; rank 1 is best.
Momentum32/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 69; rank 1 is best.
Growth90/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 11; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 3.2x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 79.5x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -2.9% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 70.0% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 13.6% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -51.6% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 0.5% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 209.4% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -227.7% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 13.2% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 13.2% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 65.6x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningVolatility
ACRE shows volatility options pressure with a 59/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 10.00, expected move of 11.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction59/100
Expected move11.5%
Put/call volume10.00
Insider activity6 / 0
6 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 66 relevant articles.
9 positive · 48 neutral · 9 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings5dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move11.5%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-20.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
30 Jan
27 Feb
27 Mar
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
24 Jul
Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.4%Week of 30 Jan.
Worst week-10.5%Week of 15 May.
Latest week-1.5%Week of 24 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses12
Sharp losses3
Recent vol4.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.9% / -3.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Real Estate
4-week rank- / 100
Group average1.4%
Trend breadth66.0%
Trend66.0%active weekly trend signals
MD77.0%positive activity pressure
RS57.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Reit - Mortgage
4-week rank2 / 41
Group average-4.1%
Trend breadth22.0%
Trend22.0%active weekly trend signals
MD51.2%positive activity pressure
RS7.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape37/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 37/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis18/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 2/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.20; No reversal markers Factors16/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 62; Small Cap Core rank 38 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options53/100ACRE shows volatility options pressure with a 59/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 10.00, expected move of 11.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 11.5% Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 66 relevant articles.
Ares Commercial Real Estate (ACRE) to Announce Quarterly Earnings on Tuesday Insiders6 / 06 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings5dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 4.55 USD | -1.5% | 4.79 USD | 5.27 USD | -1.06 | -9.49 | 1.6M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 4.62 USD | 4.3% | 4.80 USD | 5.29 USD | -0.93 | -8.78 | 2.1M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 4.43 USD | -2.0% | 4.81 USD | 5.31 USD | -0.98 | -13.95 | 1.8M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 4.52 USD | 3.6% | 4.83 USD | 5.33 USD | -0.88 | -11.29 | 1.9M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 4.36 USD | -2.4% | 4.83 USD | 5.34 USD | -0.72 | -12.78 | 3.6M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 4.47 USD | -6.3% | 4.86 USD | 5.36 USD | -0.79 | -13.06 | 1.8M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 4.77 USD | -1.2% | 4.86 USD | 5.38 USD | -0.75 | -6.70 | 1.8M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 4.83 USD | 1.0% | 4.86 USD | 5.39 USD | -0.81 | -5.27 | 2.3M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 4.78 USD | 3.3% | 4.86 USD | 5.40 USD | -0.77 | -8.71 | 1.3M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 4.63 USD | 3.9% | 4.84 USD | 5.41 USD | -0.47 | -10.55 | 2.1M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 4.45 USD | -10.5% | 4.83 USD | 5.42 USD | -0.16 | -13.35 | 2.6M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 4.97 USD | -2.8% | 4.82 USD | 5.43 USD | 0.19 | -3.30 | 2.1M | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 5.12 USD | -2.7% | 4.79 USD | 5.43 USD | 0.22 | 1.61 | 1.5M | On |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 5.26 USD | -0.8% | 4.77 USD | 5.43 USD | -0.01 | 5.56 | 1.5M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.