PA9 GER Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Name: PA9 weekly investor report
Creator: Sharemaestro
License: https://sharemaestro.com/data-license/

The Travelers Companies, Inc. · Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty

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Latest close 338.8 EUR

-0.5% latest week

Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 29.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 94.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.5%, after a 31.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.

Setup score 81 out of 100

Latest Close 338.8 EUR 31 Jul 2026

1W Return -0.5% latest completed week

4W Return 31.7% short-term follow-through

12W Return 32.3% quarterly tape

Trend Breadth 100.0% 52 of 52 weeks active

Volume Ratio 2.1x vs 13-week average

What is working

The trend backdrop is active with a 123-week active streak.
Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.

What could go wrong

Next-week expectancy is negative at 30.38% based on similar historical setup states.
4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.

What to watch next

Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.

Price follow-through -0.5% Latest completed week; four-week move 31.7%. Indicator stack 100/100 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 30.38% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 50/100 22 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.

01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 29.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 94.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.5%, after a 31.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Position in the 52-week range

Close Trend Fair

154.3 EUR 94.7% 349.2 EUR

Range location94.7%Shows where the latest close sits between the 52-week low and high.

Trend distance29.9%Price premium or discount versus the weekly Trend Line.

Fair-value gap88.1%Premium demand or model discount versus Sharemaestro Fair Value.

High-water gap-3.0%Distance from the latest 52-week high.

02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 2.1x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction

16 Jan 23 Jan 30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul

Up week Down week

Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7512-week average 0.76

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.

Positive pressure3/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.

Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.

Activity pressure0.75Current proprietary activity-pressure read.

Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.

Reversal markers44 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 31.7% over four weeks, 32.3% over 12 weeks, and 119.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 123 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.5%

4W31.7%

12W32.3%

26W40.3%

52W119.6%

Active trend streak123 weeks

Active weeks in one year52

Trend breadth100.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership

Pressure1.34Latest activity-pressure read.

Pressure change318.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.

Leadership33.76Latest relative-leadership reading.

RS change201.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.

04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis

Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 79% Model confidence 79%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength98/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 3; rank 1 is best.

Value85/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 16; rank 1 is best.

Quality72/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 29; rank 1 is best.

Momentum93/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.

Growth40/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 61; rank 1 is best.

How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E: 8.6x
Price / sales: 1.5x
EV / EBITDA: 6.9x
Free-cash-flow yield: 13.9%

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin: -
Operating margin: 22.0%
Free-cash-flow margin: 22.5%
Return on invested capital: 19.4%

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth: -
EPS growth: -
Free-cash-flow growth: -
Piotroski F-score: 5/9

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield: 1.2%
Buyback yield: 7.5%
Shareholder yield: 8.6%
Net debt / EBITDA: 0.7x

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 22 relevant articles.

1 positive · 21 neutral · 0 negative

Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal

06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.

Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.

52-week drawdown-3.0%Distance below the 52-week high.

13-week volatility4.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

16 Jan 13 Feb 13 Mar 10 Apr 8 May 5 Jun 31 Jul

Weeks higher15 of 267 weeks finished lower.

Best week+14.5%Week of 10 Jul.

Worst week-5.5%Week of 29 May.

Latest week-0.5%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4

Modest gains11

Flat weeks4

Modest losses5

Sharp losses2

Recent vol4.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.

Base vol7.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.

Up/down split29/12Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.

Average skew4.4% / -3.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.

07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

SectorDE Financial Services

4-week rank1 / 95

Group average0.1%

Trend breadth58.9%

Trend58.9%active weekly trend signals

MD67.4%positive activity pressure

RS49.5%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

PA9 · GER31.7%ALG · GER15.6%MWB0 · GER15.4%BBK · GER11.4%NAQ · GER11.3%

IndustryDE Insurance - Property & Casualty

4-week rank1 / 1

Group average31.7%

Trend breadth100.0%

Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals

MD100.0%positive activity pressure

RS100.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

PA9 · GER31.7%

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape79/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 79/100 tape read.

Indicator analysis63/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 3/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.75; 4 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 30.38%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 30.38% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors86/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 4; Small Cap Core rank 21 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 22 relevant articles.

Travelers Companies, Inc. Revenue Breakdown – MUN:PA9 Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.

Week	Close	Return	Trend Line	Fair Value	Pressure	Leadership	Volume	Trend
31 Jul 2026	338.8 EUR	-0.5%	260.8 EUR	180.1 EUR	1.34	33.76	52	On
24 Jul 2026	340.5 EUR	6.1%	257.6 EUR	178.9 EUR	0.81	39.13	11	On
17 Jul 2026	320.9 EUR	9.0%	254.2 EUR	177.6 EUR	0.18	34.41	39	On
10 Jul 2026	294.5 EUR	14.5%	251.8 EUR	176.5 EUR	-0.44	23.80	11	On
12 Jun 2026	257.2 EUR	2.5%	250.3 EUR	175.6 EUR	-0.61	11.20	116	On
5 Jun 2026	250.9 EUR	0.3%	249.9 EUR	174.9 EUR	-0.64	8.77	13	On
29 May 2026	250.1 EUR	-5.5%	249.5 EUR	174.2 EUR	-0.48	7.78	2	On
22 May 2026	264.5 EUR	3.3%	248.8 EUR	173.6 EUR	-0.27	15.85	14	On
15 May 2026	256.2 EUR	0.0%	247.6 EUR	172.8 EUR	-0.31	17.61	0	On
8 May 2026	256.2 EUR	0.0%	246.5 EUR	172.2 EUR	-0.19	16.78	0	On
1 May 2026	256.2 EUR	0.0%	245.9 EUR	171.5 EUR	-0.21	18.01	0	On
24 Apr 2026	256.2 EUR	0.0%	245.4 EUR	170.8 EUR	-0.27	19.82	0	On
17 Apr 2026	256.2 EUR	1.3%	244.6 EUR	170.1 EUR	-0.35	17.99	66	On
10 Apr 2026	252.9 EUR	-0.2%	243.8 EUR	169.4 EUR	-0.27	21.71	249	On

How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.