- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 55.89% based on similar historical setup states.
TXNM
NYSE
Week ended 24 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
TXNM Energy, Inc. · Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric
Latest close
58.40 USD
1.7%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 0.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 75.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.7%, after a 2.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is mixed with 20/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 1d.
Setup score
52
out of 100
Latest Close
58.40 USD
24 Jul 2026
1W Return
1.7%
latest completed week
4W Return
2.2%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-1.4%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
88.5%
46 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.5x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
1.7%
Latest completed week; four-week move 2.2%.
Indicator stack
49/23
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 55.89%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Mixed
20/100 conviction; expected move 4.5%.
News sentiment
54/100
22 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
1d
Next report is scheduled for 31 Jul 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 0.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 75.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.7%, after a 2.2% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.5x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.5112-week average 0.77
12-week confirmation
Trend active6/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.51Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 2.2% over four weeks, -1.4% over 12 weeks, and 5.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year46
Trend breadth88.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.29Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-50.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-6.00Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change22.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025
Field coverage 100%
Model confidence 96%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength76/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 25; rank 1 is best.
Value76/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 25; rank 1 is best.
Quality66/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 35; rank 1 is best.
Momentum31/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 70; rank 1 is best.
Growth8/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 93; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework51/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 44.1x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 3.0x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 7.5x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 24.7% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 38.5% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 23.4% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 80.6% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 11.9% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 8.5% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- -28.2% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -5.1% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 2.8% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -12.9% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- -10.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 0.6x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningMixed
TXNM shows mixed options pressure with a 20/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 4.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction20/100
Expected move4.5%
Put/call volume
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment54/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 22 relevant articles.
5 positive · 16 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings1dNext report is scheduled for 31 Jul 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move4.5%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-1.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility1.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
30 Jan
27 Feb
27 Mar
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
24 Jul
Weeks higher14 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+1.7%Week of 24 Jul.
Worst week-3.8%Week of 12 Jun.
Latest week+1.7%Week of 24 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains0
Modest gains14
Flat weeks1
Modest losses11
Sharp losses0
Recent vol1.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol0.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew0.5% / -0.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Utilities
4-week rank29 / 100
Group average-1.9%
Trend breadth53.0%
Trend53.0%active weekly trend signals
MD41.0%positive activity pressure
RS36.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Utilities - Regulated Electric
4-week rank9 / 43
Group average-0.4%
Trend breadth69.8%
Trend69.8%active weekly trend signals
MD41.9%positive activity pressure
RS51.2%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape51/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 51/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis30/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 6/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.51; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 55.89%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.89% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors63/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 88; Small Cap Core rank 75 SVQF51/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 501.0 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options43/100TXNM shows mixed options pressure with a 20/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 4.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 4.5% Sentiment54/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 22 relevant articles.
TXNM Energy, Inc. $TXNM Shares Sold by Polar Asset Management Partners Inc. Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings1dNext report is scheduled for 31 Jul 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 58.40 USD | 1.7% | 58.31 USD | 47.25 USD | -1.29 | -6.00 | 3.9M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 57.41 USD | 0.9% | 58.30 USD | 47.14 USD | -1.35 | -8.32 | 4.4M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 56.87 USD | -0.1% | 58.32 USD | 47.04 USD | -1.29 | -10.83 | 6.3M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 56.94 USD | -0.3% | 58.35 USD | 46.94 USD | -1.17 | -9.77 | 11.7M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 57.13 USD | 0.1% | 58.37 USD | 46.84 USD | -0.86 | -7.76 | 10.1M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 57.06 USD | 0.0% | 58.39 USD | 46.73 USD | -0.62 | -10.30 | 9.2M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 57.06 USD | -3.8% | 58.39 USD | 46.63 USD | -0.29 | -9.81 | 14.4M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 59.33 USD | 0.2% | 58.39 USD | 46.53 USD | -0.09 | -6.03 | 5.7M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 59.21 USD | -0.4% | 58.30 USD | 46.42 USD | -0.12 | -8.83 | 5.0M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 59.47 USD | 0.4% | 58.19 USD | 46.31 USD | -0.13 | -7.43 | 6.2M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 59.25 USD | 0.4% | 58.07 USD | 46.19 USD | -0.35 | -7.31 | 6.0M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 58.99 USD | -0.4% | 57.96 USD | 46.07 USD | -0.52 | -7.67 | 10.8M | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 59.20 USD | 1.0% | 57.84 USD | 45.97 USD | -0.63 | -5.42 | 6.3M | On |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 58.60 USD | 0.1% | 57.72 USD | 45.87 USD | -0.82 | -5.72 | 5.6M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.