EGY NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Vaalco Energy Inc · Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

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Latest close 5.33 USD
-4.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 60.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.0%, after a 5.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 43/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 4d.

Setup score 49 out of 100
Latest Close 5.33 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -4.0% latest completed week
4W Return 5.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return -3.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 73.1% 38 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -4.0% Latest completed week; four-week move 5.3%. Indicator stack 40/34 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bullish 43/100 conviction; expected move 15.8%. News sentiment 52/100 73 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 4d Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 60.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.0%, after a 5.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3212-week average 0.66

12-week confirmation

Trend active10/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.32Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 5.3% over four weeks, -3.8% over 12 weeks, and 56.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-4.0%
4W5.3%
12W-3.8%
26W6.1%
52W56.6%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year38
Trend breadth73.1%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.85Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-10.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership6.25Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change109.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 87%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength82/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 19; rank 1 is best.
Value82/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 19; rank 1 is best.
Quality15/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 86; rank 1 is best.
Momentum86/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 15; rank 1 is best.
Growth12/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 89; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.7x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
54.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
20.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-39.2%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
124.0%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-18.8%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-29.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
57.9%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
2/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
4.5%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.1%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
4.6%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-5.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

EGY shows bullish options pressure with a 43/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.40, expected move of 15.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction43/100
Expected move15.8%
Put/call volume0.40
Pressure52
Speculation2
Volatility89
Trend agreement44
Open options detail
Insider activity5 / 15

5 acquisitions and 15 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 73 relevant articles.

12 positive · 50 neutral · 11 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings4dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move15.8%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-19.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+16.0%Week of 20 Mar.
Worst week-13.6%Week of 8 May.
Latest week-4.0%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses6
Recent vol6.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.3% / -4.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape47/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 47/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis57/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 10/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.32; No reversal markers Factors64/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 41; Small Cap Core rank 24 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options55/100

EGY shows bullish options pressure with a 43/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.40, expected move of 15.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 15.8% Sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 73 relevant articles.

Why London Shares Climbed Despite Energy Sector Weakness Insiders5 / 15

5 acquisitions and 15 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings4d

Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20265.33 USD-4.0%5.35 USD4.46 USD-0.856.255.6MOff
24 Jul 20265.55 USD4.7%5.29 USD4.45 USD-0.9012.365.6MOn
17 Jul 20265.30 USD1.0%5.21 USD4.44 USD-0.987.245.5MOff
10 Jul 20265.25 USD3.8%5.15 USD4.43 USD-0.825.125.8MOn
3 Jul 20265.06 USD2.6%5.09 USD4.41 USD-0.772.986.3MOn
26 Jun 20264.93 USD-11.6%5.04 USD4.40 USD-0.722.778.9MOn
19 Jun 20265.58 USD2.2%4.99 USD4.39 USD-0.7613.889.2MOn
12 Jun 20265.46 USD3.2%4.92 USD4.38 USD-0.7912.904.5MOn
5 Jun 20265.29 USD1.3%4.86 USD4.36 USD-0.5910.405.5MOn
29 May 20265.22 USD-8.7%4.81 USD4.35 USD-0.376.744.5MOn
22 May 20265.72 USD-3.3%4.76 USD4.34 USD0.0519.295.9MOn
15 May 20265.92 USD6.8%4.69 USD4.32 USD0.3825.336.5MOn
8 May 20265.54 USD-13.6%4.62 USD4.31 USD0.4918.518.8MOn
1 May 20266.41 USD6.2%4.55 USD4.29 USD0.7341.135.9MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.