CFP TOR Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Canfor Corporation · Basic Materials · Lumber & Wood Production

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Latest close 15.01 CAD
8.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 10.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 79.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 8.1%, after a 8.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 47/100.

Setup score 58 out of 100
Latest Close 15.01 CAD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 8.1% latest completed week
4W Return 8.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return 18.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 30.8% 16 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 41.37% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 8.1% Latest completed week; four-week move 8.2%. Indicator stack 17/77 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 41.37% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 47/100 19 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 10.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 79.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 8.1%, after a 8.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.6x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6012-week average 0.38

12-week confirmation

Trend active5/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.60Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 8.2% over four weeks, 18.1% over 12 weeks, and 11.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W8.1%
4W8.2%
12W18.1%
26W4.7%
52W11.3%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year16
Trend breadth30.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.71Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change174.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership4.49Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change179.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 79% Model confidence 76%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength39/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 62; rank 1 is best.
Value78/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 23; rank 1 is best.
Quality5/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 96; rank 1 is best.
Momentum19/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 82; rank 1 is best.
Growth29/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 72; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.3x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-12.0%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
18.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-5.6%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-6.3%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-6.7%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
1.6%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
1.4%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.4%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-6.3x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment47/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 19 relevant articles.

0 positive · 17 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-6.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+12.4%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-7.6%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week+8.1%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses5
Recent vol5.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.8% / -3.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape51/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 51/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis44/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 5/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 1/12.

Activity pressure 0.60; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 41.37%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 41.37% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors34/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 22; Small Cap Core rank 22 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment47/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 19 relevant articles.

Canfor (TSX:CFP) Stock Faces Profit Reset Despite Narrower Quarterly Losses Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202615.01 CAD8.1%13.62 CAD14.81 CAD0.714.491.1MOff
24 Jul 202613.88 CAD-2.0%13.53 CAD14.84 CAD0.50-4.10513.4KOff
17 Jul 202614.17 CAD4.3%13.44 CAD14.88 CAD0.44-2.371.1MOff
10 Jul 202613.58 CAD-2.1%13.34 CAD14.94 CAD0.26-7.07482.4KOn
3 Jul 202613.87 CAD1.2%13.26 CAD14.99 CAD0.26-5.64470.0KOn
26 Jun 202613.71 CAD-1.2%13.20 CAD15.05 CAD0.11-6.64119.9KOn
19 Jun 202613.88 CAD-1.9%13.15 CAD15.12 CAD0.22-6.0190.6KOn
12 Jun 202614.15 CAD4.8%13.07 CAD15.16 CAD-0.03-4.74263.3KOn
5 Jun 202613.50 CAD-4.5%13.00 CAD15.21 CAD-0.39-8.22304.5KOff
29 May 202614.13 CAD12.4%12.96 CAD15.25 CAD-0.50-5.462.4MOff
22 May 202612.57 CAD5.3%12.90 CAD15.29 CAD-0.91-15.51667.2KOff
15 May 202611.94 CAD-6.1%12.90 CAD15.33 CAD-0.93-18.73692.8KOff
8 May 202612.71 CAD4.6%12.91 CAD15.39 CAD-0.80-14.77928.2KOff
1 May 202612.15 CAD-3.3%12.90 CAD15.44 CAD-0.77-18.65897.4KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.