ADN TOR Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Acadian Timber Corp. · Basic Materials · Lumber & Wood Production

Latest close 17.86 CAD
1.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 5.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 93.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.8%, after a 1.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 49/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.

Setup score 69 out of 100
Latest Close 17.86 CAD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 1.8% latest completed week
4W Return 1.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return 5.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 53.8% 28 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 21-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • No major top-level risk cluster is currently dominant.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 5.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 93.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.8%, after a 1.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8612-week average 0.93

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.86Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 1.0% over four weeks, 5.8% over 12 weeks, and 4.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 21 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.8%
4W1.0%
12W5.8%
26W12.8%
52W4.9%
Active trend streak21 weeks
Active weeks in one year28
Trend breadth53.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.66Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change297.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-0.36Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change89.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 90%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength30/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 71; rank 1 is best.
Value63/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 38; rank 1 is best.
Quality14/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 87; rank 1 is best.
Momentum22/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 79; rank 1 is best.
Growth30/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 71; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework26/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
6.5x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
3.7x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
5.8x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
0.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
31.7%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
16.8%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
1.1%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
2.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-25.2%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
117.8%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-84.6%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
6.6%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
6.6%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.5x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment49/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 9 relevant articles.

1 positive · 7 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-1.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility1.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+3.1%Week of 13 Feb.
Worst week-2.5%Week of 10 Apr.
Latest week+1.8%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains0
Modest gains15
Flat weeks2
Modest losses9
Sharp losses0
Recent vol1.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew1.8% / -1.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202617.86 CAD1.8%16.93 CAD15.75 CAD0.66-0.3642.6KOn
24 Jul 202617.55 CAD0.9%16.85 CAD15.73 CAD0.54-2.9333.3KOn
17 Jul 202617.39 CAD-1.6%16.78 CAD15.70 CAD0.43-4.0285.0KOn
10 Jul 202617.68 CAD-0.1%16.69 CAD15.68 CAD0.31-3.0121.6KOn
3 Jul 202617.69 CAD1.3%16.62 CAD15.65 CAD0.16-3.2724.3KOn
26 Jun 202617.46 CAD0.0%16.54 CAD15.63 CAD-0.09-4.255.1KOn
19 Jun 202617.46 CAD1.4%16.46 CAD15.61 CAD-0.02-4.689.2KOn
12 Jun 202617.22 CAD1.1%16.35 CAD15.58 CAD-0.14-6.387.7KOn
5 Jun 202617.03 CAD-1.4%16.25 CAD15.56 CAD-0.05-6.455.1KOn
29 May 202617.28 CAD1.4%16.14 CAD15.54 CAD0.18-6.5842.7KOn
22 May 202617.03 CAD-0.4%16.03 CAD15.51 CAD0.15-7.5921.6KOn
15 May 202617.10 CAD1.3%15.95 CAD15.49 CAD0.35-5.9823.4KOn
8 May 202616.88 CAD-1.0%15.90 CAD15.47 CAD0.49-8.2754.0KOn
1 May 202617.05 CAD-0.6%15.85 CAD15.45 CAD0.56-7.3530.9KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.