AMD NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Advanced Micro Devices Inc · Technology · Semiconductors

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Latest close 476.1 USD
-8.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 36.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 75.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -8.8%, after a -8.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is mixed with 43/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 3d.

Setup score 59 out of 100
Latest Close 476.1 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -8.8% latest completed week
4W Return -8.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return 4.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 86.5% 45 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 16-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 8 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • The latest week was a sharp negative move.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -8.8% Latest completed week; four-week move -8.0%. Indicator stack 93/49 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 60.58% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Mixed 43/100 conviction; expected move 9.1%. News sentiment 53/100 24 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 3d Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 36.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 75.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -8.8%, after a -8.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9612-week average 0.86

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.96Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers88 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 8 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -8.0% over four weeks, 4.6% over 12 weeks, and 177.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 16 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-8.8%
4W-8.0%
12W4.6%
26W101.1%
52W177.3%
Active trend streak16 weeks
Active weeks in one year45
Trend breadth86.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.25Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-73.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership57.21Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-27.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 93%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength46/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 55; rank 1 is best.
Value1/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 100; rank 1 is best.
Quality89/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 12; rank 1 is best.
Momentum98/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 3; rank 1 is best.
Growth97/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
169.9x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
22.7x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
105.0x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
1.3%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
50.3%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
13.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
29.0%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
8.1%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
35.0%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
124.9%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
161.1%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
8/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.1%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.1%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

AMD shows mixed options pressure with a 43/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.34, expected move of 9.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction43/100
Expected move9.1%
Put/call volume1.34
Pressure-12
Speculation61
Volatility80
Trend agreement63
Open options detail
Insider activity3 / 17

3 acquisitions and 17 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 24 relevant articles.

5 positive · 19 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings3dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move9.1%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-18.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility10.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+26.3%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-12.0%Week of 6 Feb.
Latest week-8.8%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains12
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses5
Recent vol10.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol9.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split33/19Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.5% / -6.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape66/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 66/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis83/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.96; 8 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 60.58%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 60.58% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors57/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 40 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options52/100

AMD shows mixed options pressure with a 43/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.34, expected move of 9.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 9.1% Sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 24 relevant articles.

HSBC Adjusts Price Target on Advanced Micro Devices to $500 From $380, Maintain Hold Rating Insiders3 / 17

3 acquisitions and 17 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings3d

Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.

 Research flow5 items

2 recent research articles and 3 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026476.1 USD-8.8%348.5 USD186.6 USD0.2557.21164.0MOn
24 Jul 2026522.0 USD5.3%340.1 USD184.3 USD0.4776.21131.6MOn
17 Jul 2026495.8 USD-11.1%329.9 USD181.7 USD0.6768.20131.2MOn
10 Jul 2026557.9 USD7.7%320.4 USD179.2 USD0.8885.03131.2MOn
3 Jul 2026517.8 USD-0.7%308.9 USD176.4 USD0.9379.03117.7MOn
26 Jun 2026521.6 USD-2.9%298.9 USD173.8 USD1.0186.09162.5MOn
19 Jun 2026537.4 USD5.0%288.7 USD171.2 USD1.0887.41132.8MOn
12 Jun 2026511.6 USD9.7%277.6 USD168.4 USD1.1787.67152.8MOn
5 Jun 2026466.4 USD-9.6%268.8 USD165.9 USD1.2579.50163.0MOn
29 May 2026516.1 USD10.4%261.0 USD163.7 USD1.4994.16128.3MOn
22 May 2026467.5 USD10.2%252.4 USD161.2 USD1.5985.78164.5MOn
15 May 2026424.1 USD-6.8%245.2 USD159.0 USD1.7174.74170.9MOn
8 May 2026455.2 USD26.3%238.9 USD156.9 USD1.6390.94297.0MOn
1 May 2026360.5 USD3.7%230.8 USD154.6 USD1.1663.58214.7MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.