Ticker Options Intelligence

AMD options intelligence

Advanced Micro Devices Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 43 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 1 Aug 2026 08:48 · partial chain

Options-market disagreement

Mixed pressure

AMD currently carries mixed options pressure with a 43/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 9.1%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.90.

Primary read Mixed

Options-market disagreement

Expected move 9.1%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.90

Current volume is elevated versus prior open interest

Put-call 1.34

Put-side skew

Trend fit 63

Options agree with trend context

Weekly backdrop -8.8%

RS 57.2

Expected move 9.1%
Put-call volume 1.34
Volume / OI 0.90
Reference IV 0.62
Max pain 460.00
Underlying 521.95
Nearest expiry 3 Aug 2026
Contracts 2000

Research Brief

AMD has a mixed chain read with 43/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 474.37–569.53; The largest call open-interest concentration is 505.00; the largest put concentration is 400.00. The most active strike by current volume is 425.00.

Priced range474.37–569.53
Call concentration505.00
Put concentration400.00
Max pain reference460.00
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
  • The current chain read already agrees with the stored weekly trend context.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 3 Aug

Options imply 474.37 to 569.53. Max pain at 460.00 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
474.37521.95 ± 47.58569.53
Confirmation level

A close beyond 569.53 or below 474.37 at the 3 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 43/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 12/100 toward puts; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure12 × 42%
+5.2

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation61 × 22%
+13.4

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement63 × 26%
+16.3

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility80 × 10%
+8.0

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score42.9Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 505.00; the largest put concentration is 400.00. The most active strike by current volume is 425.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
1568
400.00-23.4%
8
315
425.00-18.6%
63
1180
450.00-13.8%
77
329
455.00-12.8%
1800
192
465.00-10.9%
59
444
470.00-10.0%
225
280
480.00-8.0%
486
275
485.00-7.1%
185
99
490.00-6.1%
597
95
495.00-5.2%
1708
161
500.00-4.2%
998
53
505.00-3.2%
2216
169
510.00-2.3%
741
41
515.00-1.3%
648
87
520.00-0.4%
595
55
530.001.5%
473
8
550.005.4%
1905
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Back-loaded volatility

0.71× front/back

Longer-dated options carry more implied volatility than the front expiry, so risk is priced farther out.

0.62 3 Aug 3d
1.06 5 Aug 5d
1.01 7 Aug 7d
0.90 10 Aug 10d
0.89 12 Aug 12d
0.87 14 Aug 14d

Volatility by Strike

Upside optionality premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money calls carry higher implied volatility than comparable puts, indicating richer upside optionality.

420
430
440
450
460
470
483
493
503
513
523
533
543
553
563
575
585
595
605
615
625
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 31 Jul 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C59/100
Retained chain30%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Retained chain subset
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
2000 / 6772
  • 30% of provider contracts were retained for this snapshot.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

90/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence No clean flow/price divergence

The options read is mixed, so divergence is not strong enough to classify.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $140.9M of estimated gross traded notional, puts · 0-7 days · otm, and a no clean flow/price divergence backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure-12
1W price-8.8%
Call premium48%
Put premium52%
Notional split C 48% / P 52% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.90 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 63/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 4 Aug Matched earnings event is 2 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Puts · 0-7 days · OTM
Puts · 0-7 days · OTM puts cluster with 104280 contracts traded, $54.0M estimated gross traded notional, and 38% of visible notional.
$54.0M
Calls · 0-7 days · ITM calls cluster with 27674 contracts traded, $40.5M estimated gross traded notional, and 29% of visible notional.
$40.5M
Calls · 8-21 days · ITM calls cluster with 3128 contracts traded, $8.9M estimated gross traded notional, and 6% of visible notional.
$8.9M
Puts · 0-7 days · ATM puts cluster with 1614 contracts traded, $7.4M estimated gross traded notional, and 5% of visible notional.
$7.4M
Calls · 0-7 days · ATM calls cluster with 16012 contracts traded, $7.2M estimated gross traded notional, and 5% of visible notional.
$7.2M

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Speculative chase

Participation is active enough to treat follow-through risk carefully.

Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close476.15
1W-8.8%
RS57.2
Fair value+155.2%
Options pressure-12
Speculation61
Volatility80
Trend fit63

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 9.1% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 0.62 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 1.34 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.90 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 14:45 Mixed
Pressure -6
Move 16.9%
29 Jul 15:10 Mixed
Pressure -9
Move 17.1%
29 Jul 15:31 Mixed
Pressure -8
Move 17.6%
29 Jul 15:55 Mixed
Pressure -7
Move 17.7%
29 Jul 16:15 Mixed
Pressure -8
Move 18.2%
29 Jul 16:40 Mixed
Pressure -8
Move 18.1%
29 Jul 17:01 Mixed
Pressure -6
Move 18.2%
29 Jul 17:26 Mixed
Pressure -4
Move 16.9%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike290.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 111
Strike300.00
Calls · V 3 · OI 11
Puts · V 33 · OI 21
Strike310.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 22 · OI 845
Strike320.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 8
Puts · V 2 · OI 51
Strike330.00
Calls · V 9 · OI 20
Puts · V 1 · OI 10
Strike340.00
Calls · V 9 · OI 9
Puts · V 24 · OI 16
Strike345.00
Calls · V 1 · OI 1
Puts · V 26 · OI 106
Strike350.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 27
Puts · V 533 · OI 798

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry3 Aug 2026
Contracts334
Avg IV0.62
Put-call1.35
Expiry5 Aug 2026
Contracts348
Avg IV1.06
Put-call0.61
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Contracts488
Avg IV1.01
Put-call1.89
Expiry10 Aug 2026
Contracts346
Avg IV0.90
Put-call1.10
Expiry12 Aug 2026
Contracts308
Avg IV0.89
Put-call1.27

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
3 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.62
Put IV0.63
Skew0.01
5 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV1.08
Put IV1.06
Skew-0.02
7 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV1.03
Put IV1.04
Skew0.01
10 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.93
Put IV0.91
Skew-0.02
12 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.92
Put IV0.91
Skew-0.01

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractAMD260807P00270000
SidePut
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike270.00
Volume9793
OI141
IV1.54
ContractAMD260807P00080000
SidePut
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike80.00
Volume9510
OI8
IV3.83
ContractAMD260807P00075000
SidePut
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike75.00
Volume8550
OI14
IV3.97
ContractAMD260803P00425000
SidePut
Expiry3 Aug 2026
Strike425.00
Volume7173
OI315
IV0.78
ContractAMD260803P00450000
SidePut
Expiry3 Aug 2026
Strike450.00
Volume5575
OI1180
IV0.66
ContractAMD260803P00465000
SidePut
Expiry3 Aug 2026
Strike465.00
Volume3777
OI192
IV0.62
ContractAMD260803C00550000
SideCall
Expiry3 Aug 2026
Strike550.00
Volume3417
OI1905
IV0.73
ContractAMD260803C00500000
SideCall
Expiry3 Aug 2026
Strike500.00
Volume3350
OI998
IV0.61